Some Estimates of First Demographic Dividend in Bangladesh: An Application of the Bangladesh National Transfer Account

Khondker, Bazlul Haque; Rahman, Muhammad Moshiur

doi:10.1007/978-981-13-2071-2_7

Cited by 3 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…Therefore, India is assumed to be ripe for the benefit of the demographic dividend, due to its large proportion of youth (Singh, 2016). The window of opportunity has already started in Bangladesh since 1991 which is expected to remain open till 2050 (Khondker and Rahman, 2018;Uddin and Karim, 2016). However, it is pertinent that the South Central Asian countries follow the policy ingenuities that were adopted by the East Asian region to fully reap the demographic dividend.…”

Section: Overview Of Demographic Transition Among South Asian Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Presently, most developing nations have a larger proportion of economically active population whose advantages remain untapped, while the developed nations are already enjoying the benefits of the young age cohortand the SAARC region is no exception from that. Evidently, the window of opportunity had been created in Bangladesh since 1991 and is expected to remain open till 2050 (Khondker and Rahman, 2018;Uddin and Karim, 2016). Similarly, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Nepal have been reaping the demographic premium since the 1990s (Nayab, 2007;National Planning Commission, 2017;De Silva, 2013), while India has been enjoying the opportunity since 2005 (Bloom, 2011;Singh, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Demographic dividend and economic growth in emerging economies: fresh evidence from the SAARC countries

Jafrin

Mahi

Masud

et al. 2021

IJSE

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PurposeThe study attempts to establish the relationship between demographic dividend and GDP growth rate by utilising panel data from 1990 to 2017 in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Nepal and Sri Lanka.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs the pooled OLS model, using data from the World Bank's database for the period 1990–2017 for five selected South Asia Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries.FindingsThe results reveal that demographic dividend affects economic growth in Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Pakistan, thereby supporting the demographic dividend hypothesis. For the country-specific analysis, it was also observed that demographic dividend impacts the economic growth of the five SAARC countries. In addition, growth of gross capital formation is highly significant for both aggregated and country-specific analyses. However, economic growth is unaffected by trade openness and unemployment rates. Moreover, the rate of labour force participation is negatively related to the GDP growth rate in the aggregated model.Originality/valueThis paper bestows insight into the fact that the impact of demographic dividend on the economic growth of the SAARC regions cannot be fully actualised if the workforce are underutilised. This region needs to adopt appropriate policies to strengthen the considerable benefits of demographic dividend on the economic growth.

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Section: Overview Of Demographic Transition Among South Asian Countriesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demographic dividend and economic growth in emerging economies: fresh evidence from the SAARC countries

Jafrin

Mahi

Masud

et al. 2021

IJSE

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Two papers are dedicated to the demographic dividend in Bangladesh: Chaudhury (2014) and Khondker and Rahman (2018). Chaudhury (2014) analysed the age structure of the population of Bangladesh and showed that the workingage population is sharply rising.…”

Section: The Bangladesh Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The question that arises next is about the capability of accommodating this labour supply into its labour market. Khondker and Rahman (2018) projected that the first demographic dividend will cease within the period 2030-2040: the timeline depends on different assumptions on fertility growth. However, our paper uses age and education-wise disaggregated (i.e., cross-classified) data and shows how this additional level of disaggregation (by level of education) removes bias in estimation compared to only age-wise classified data.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Age and Education Effects in the First Demographic Dividend of Bangladesh: A Decomposition Analysis

Islam¹

2021

BDS

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The paper attempts to examine the economic effect of changing age structure in Bangladesh in the demographic dividend while being cautious of aggregation bias. One of the major contributions of this paper to the estimation of the demographic dividend literature is its use of a disaggregated dataset to produce a representative estimation of demographic dividend and compare among different education groups. The findings of the paper shed light on the debate on the sources of the first demographic dividend—whether this dividend comes from a pure age structure factor or represents an education dividend. When the economic profiles are disaggregated by levels of education, the Economic Support Ratio (ESR) decreases compared to the estimates when it only classified by ages. After estimating the first demographic dividend, the paper disaggregates the dividend into education effect and age effect using the Das Gupta decomposition technique. Results show that the size of the dividend is driven largely by age effects, while the education effect has been negative in Bangladesh for the past decades. The negative education effect indicates the aggregation bias in the estimates of support ratio if data is not disaggregated at that level.

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Population transition and demographic dividend in Bangladesh: extent and policy implication

Farid¹,

Mostari

2022

J. Soc. Econ. Dev.

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Some Estimates of First Demographic Dividend in Bangladesh: An Application of the Bangladesh National Transfer Account

Cited by 3 publications

References 6 publications

Demographic dividend and economic growth in emerging economies: fresh evidence from the SAARC countries

Demographic dividend and economic growth in emerging economies: fresh evidence from the SAARC countries

Age and Education Effects in the First Demographic Dividend of Bangladesh: A Decomposition Analysis

Population transition and demographic dividend in Bangladesh: extent and policy implication

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