1984
DOI: 10.2307/2061030
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Socioeconomic ramifications of changing cohort size: an analysis of U.S. postwar suicide rates by age and sex

Abstract: This paper presents a relative cohort size model of suicide. The model states that as relative cohort size (the ratio of younger to older workers) rises, income and income aspirations diverge for the young. One possible extreme reaction to this disequilibrium is suicide. The model explains the variation in age- and sex-specific suicide rates for the United States over the period 1948 to 1976. It identifies the direct effect of changes in cohort size on suicide rates as well as the indirect effect operating thr… Show more

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Cited by 79 publications
(23 citation statements)
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“…Following tradition (Ahlburg and Schapiro 1984;Easterlin 1987) we use relative cohort size for the two youngest age groups (i.e., females 15-24/females 35-64 and females 25-34/females 45-74). Large cohort size is expected to increase suicide rates among the young because large youthful cohorts will experience low wages, employment problems, declining marriage rates, and marital instability.…”
Section: Independent Variablesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Following tradition (Ahlburg and Schapiro 1984;Easterlin 1987) we use relative cohort size for the two youngest age groups (i.e., females 15-24/females 35-64 and females 25-34/females 45-74). Large cohort size is expected to increase suicide rates among the young because large youthful cohorts will experience low wages, employment problems, declining marriage rates, and marital instability.…”
Section: Independent Variablesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Previous empirical examinations of the correlations between suicide and macroeconomic and macrosocial variables have typically utilized time series data aggregated at the national level [23,24,6,4] or cross sections of US states or of countries [25,26]. Pitfalls of using aggregate time series include potential spurious correlation of suicide rates and economic conditions due to omitted time-varying factors, and biased estimates of slope parameters if aggregation is taken across heterogeneous populations.…”
Section: Empirical Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The effects of cohort size on political alienation are currently being debated (Kahn and Mason 1987;O'Brien and Gwartney-Gibbs 1989). Significant positive effects on both suicide (Ahlburg and Schapiro 1984) and homicide (Easterlin and Schapiro 1979;Smith 1986) have been reported. Several recent studies attempt to relate cohort size to rates of delinquency and crime, with somewhat mixed results.…”
Section: Related Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%