Socioeconomic processes as open-ended results. Beyond invariance knowledge for interventionist purposes

Abstract

In this paper a critique to Cartwright's approaches of capacities and nomological machines is carried out.This approaches share the idea that invariant knowledge is crucial for achieving policy purposes. However, it is shown that socioeconomic processes do not fit to the logic of stable causal factors, but they are more suited to the logic of "open-ended results". On the basis of this ontological variation it is argued that ex-ante interventions are not appropriate in the socioeconomic realm. On the contrary, they must be understood in a "dynamic" sense. Finally, derivational robustness analysis is proposed as a useful tool for overcoming the problem of "overconstraint", a typical problem of economic models.Keywords: invariance, intervention, nomological machines, capacities, derivational robustness analysis.RESUMEN: En el presente trabajo se hará una crítica a los enfoques de capacidades y máquinas nomológicas propuestos por Cartwright. Estos enfoques comparten la idea de que un conocimiento invariante es crucial para el éxito de una política. No obstante, aquí se mostrará que los procesos socioeconómicos no son compatibles con la lógica de los factores causales estables, sino con la lógica de los "resultados de final abierto". Sobre la base de esta variante ontológica se argumentará que las intervenciones ex-ante no son apropiadas en el reino de lo socioeconó-mico. Por el contrario, deberían ser entendidas en un sentido "dinámico". Finalmente, se propondrá al análisis de robustez derivacional como una herramienta útil para superar el problema de "sobre-restricción", un problema típico de los modelos económicos.Palabras clave: invarianza, intervención, máquinas nomológicas, capacidades, análisis de robustez derivacional.

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