Socio-economic Impact of Climate Change, Adaptation and Determinants of Willingness to Pay for Crop Insurance in Central Agro-climatic Zone of Afghanistan

Sarwary, Meraj; Senthil‐Nathan, Sengottayan; Vidhyavathi, A.; Kokilavani, S.

doi:10.9734/cjast/2020/v39i1630739

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 17 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Situated 37 • north of the equator, Afghanistan showcases the traits of an arid and semi-arid continental climate nestled within the arid sub-tropics [15,16]. In most regions of Afghanistan, precipitation has decreased in recent years [17].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Cereal Crops Productivity in Afghanistan: Evidence Based on Panel Regression Model

et al. 2023

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Afghanistan frequently faces drought and other climate change-related challenges due to rising temperatures and decreased precipitation in many areas of the country. Therefore, acquiring a thorough comprehension of the implications of climate change on the cultivation of key cereal crops is of the utmost importance. This is particularly significant in the context of Afghanistan, where the agricultural sector plays a pivotal role, contributing close to a quarter of the country’s national gross domestic product and serving as the primary source of employment for 70% of the rural workforce. In this paper, we employ a panel regression model to evaluate the relationship between climate change and cereal productivity in Afghanistan’s agro-climatic zones. Temperature had a significant negative impact, implying that a mean temperature increase of 1 °C decreased wheat and barley yields by 271 and 221 kg/ha, respectively. Future medium- and high-emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) for the period 2021–2050 were considered for future yield predictions. To project future climate change impacts, the estimated panel data regression coefficients were used to compute the projected changes in cereal yields. During the period 2021–2050, the mean yield of wheat is projected to decrease by 21 or 28%, the rice yield will decrease by 4.92 or 6.10%, and the barley yield will decrease by 387 or 535 kg/ha in the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios, respectively, further emphasizing the need for targeted actions to tackle the effects of climate change on agriculture in Afghanistan in alignment with SDG 2 (Zero Hunger) and SDG 13 (Climate Action).

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Cereal Crops Productivity in Afghanistan: Evidence Based on Panel Regression Model

et al. 2023

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Afghanistan exhibits arid and semi-arid continental climate characteristics located in the arid sub-tropics at 37° North of the equator (Sarwary et al 2020;Matthew et al 2009). Afghanistan is traditionally an agrarian country (Jawid and Khadjavi, 2019), contributing around 22 percent to the country GDP.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Risks, Farmers Perception and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Variability in Afghanistan

et al. 2022

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This study examined the farmers’ perception, adaptation measures and coping strategies to mitigate climate extremes in Afghanistan using parametric and non-parametric methods. We selected the central agro-climatic zone to conduct farm household’s survey since it has significant climate variability in terms of maximum, minimum temperature and rainfall. Results show that majority of the farmers (>80%) perceived a “high to a very high” degree of climate induced impact on loss of employment, labor scarcity, pest and disease outbreak and decline in groundwater level. The important climate adaptation and coping strategies viz., changing cropping patterns, drilling new bore wells and farm diversification were extensively practiced by the farmers. In the policy side, establishing automatic weather stations, agro advisory services, weather-based crop insurance and climate-smart agricultural practices are the potential policy options to protect farm households from climate extremes.

show abstract

Characterization of Small Scale Farmers’ Low Levels of Adoption to Crop Insurance as an Adaptation Strategy to Climate Variability in Nyandarua County of Kenya

Muriithi

Wambua

Omoke

2020

AJAFS

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Kenya is one of the many countries in Sub Saharan Africa affected by climate variability and its related hazards due to changes in temperature and variations in rainfall in most parts of the country. The present study has been undertaken to assess the adaptation strategies applied by the small scale farmers in response to climate variability in Nyandarua County. The study has been conducted in central region of Kenya which is relatively humid and good for agricultural production. A total sample size of 300 respondents from five sub counties was used to collect the primary data through the random sampling technique. Descriptive Likert analysis and Inferential binary logit regression was used to assess the factors affecting the willingness to adopt crop insurance to mitigate the risks of variability of climate on crop farming. The results of the study indicate that adoption of crop insurance scored very low in relation to other adaptation strategies. The logit regression model on the other hand revealed that age and marital status was positively significant with willingness to adopt crop insurance while the marginal effects of levels of income and monthly income implied that the likelihood of willingness to adapt crop insurance increased by 1.32 times and 13.3 percent respectively. Based on the study findings, if small scale farmers are well supported to adopt crop insurance, then this adaptation strategy can be among the most effective strategies in Kenya. However, due to low adaptive capacity, more awareness needs to be created on the importance and procedures of obtaining the specific agricultural insurance covers. The study concludes that modern adaptation approaches are important in presence of formal crop insurance policies especially in the rural areas of Kenya.

show abstract

Socio-economic Impact of Climate Change, Adaptation and Determinants of Willingness to Pay for Crop Insurance in Central Agro-climatic Zone of Afghanistan

Cited by 3 publications

References 17 publications

Climate Change and Cereal Crops Productivity in Afghanistan: Evidence Based on Panel Regression Model

Climate Change and Cereal Crops Productivity in Afghanistan: Evidence Based on Panel Regression Model

Climate Risks, Farmers Perception and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Variability in Afghanistan

Characterization of Small Scale Farmers’ Low Levels of Adoption to Crop Insurance as an Adaptation Strategy to Climate Variability in Nyandarua County of Kenya

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About