Socio-Economic Effectiveness of the Development of the Railway Network in Siberia and the Far East: Mathematical Simulation and Forecast

Садовничий, В. А.; Osipov, Gennadiĭ Vasilʹevich; Akaev, Askar; Malkov, Artemy; Shulgin, Sergey

doi:10.17059/2018-3-6

Cited by 6 publications

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“…There are some studies indicating a heterogeneous transportation infrastructures effect on regional economic growth as found by [3,7,13] and has also been shown by Donaldson and Hornbeck [14]. In the economic sphere, Sadovnichii et al [6] stated that the development of the railway networks in Siberia and the Far East had several effects, namely accelerating the growth rate of the Russian economy's GDP, restructuring the economic structure from the primary sector to the secondary and tertiary sectors, the development of high technology-based industries, and in reducing the uneven development between regions.…”

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confidence: 84%

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Regional Economic Growth and the Heterogeneity Effect of Rail Network Connectivity in West Java Province

Pradono,

Furqan

2024

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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This paper aims at determining the heterogeneity effect of rail network connectivity influence on regional economic growth in West Java Province employing a multiple linear regression analysis approach to panel data covering 27 districts/cities in 2010-2018. There are several variables that are used as input variables for analysis such as GRDP per capita (PDRBPKit) as the dependent variable, connectivity (Konektivitasit) as the independent variable, and economic variables (Public Government Investment per capita (invpit); Private Investment per capita (invsit); Human Capital (ipmit); Agricultural Contribution (agricultureit); Industry Contribution (industriit); Service Contribution (jasait); and Population (populationit) as control variables. Some control variables show significant results in the heterogeneity effect. The results obtained show that the interaction of rail network connectivity with government investment and the contribution of the service sector is negative, the contribution of the industrial sector and population is positive.

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confidence: 84%

“…Introduction There are lots of empirical evidences showing that the availability of infrastructure has an influence on regional economic growth [1,2,3,4,5,6,7]. Infrastructure is important as a catalyst in regional economic growth.…”

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confidence: 99%

Regional Economic Growth and the Heterogeneity Effect of Rail Network Connectivity in West Java Province

Pradono,

Furqan

2024

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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“…The common trend of digitalisation, robotisation and automation of work processes, which was declared and supported by world leaders in connection with the announced achievement of Industry 4.0 by advanced economies, is studied in relation to such sectors as industry, finance, and services and has been described by many researchers. [3,4] They pay a lot of attention to the transport industry [5] and its modernisation in the light of these trends.…”

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confidence: 99%

Searching for mechanism of correlation of interests of the transport holding’s managers and employees

2020

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Digital transformation is the current development paradigm of any modern organisation. Digitalisation, automation and robotisation actively affect the activities of both large and small enterprises and have an impact on all spheres of life. Studying the correlation of corporate interests of employees and managers of Russian Railways, JSC transport holding allowed us to identify areas of their correlation, as well as areas where we defined their inconsistency. At the same time, this area of interaction between employees and employers requires active research since it does not always fall into the research field. Based on empirical research, analysis of corporate reports on the company’s business activities, as well as content analysis of interviews with managers, the authors show that alignment of interest can be achieved by means of systematic development and meeting the needs of staff in training and development; availability of a clear program of the company’s development and provision of a wide range of social benefits and guarantees contribute to the achievement of stable position on the market of logistic services, stable work teams, high level of staff involvement in the activities of the company, higher job satisfaction, greater confidence of staff in developing and implementing changes, as well as improving technical, technological and operating processes. On the other hand, the study shows that in the opinion of managers and potential employees (based on the analysis of the generation Z’s system of values) the corporate management model of Russian Railways, JSC may create barriers to the development of the company and fulfilment of employees’ labour potential. This problem can be avoided by improving corporate management systems and increasing the independence of the staff.

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“…Using methods of mathematical modeling and forecasting, V.A. Sadovnichy et al [12] provide a quantitative assessment of the long-term effects (macroeconomic, social and geopolitical) of a project for the development of railways in the Far East and Siberia, including the construction of a high-speed passenger-and-freight highway. Their calculations show that the implementation of this project will play an important role in the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation as well as in strengthening the geopolitical and geo-economic positions of Russia in the Asia-Pacific region and globally.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Wuhan coronavirus spread in Russia: macroeconomic production function in regard to transport and communication infrastructure

Afanasiev¹,

Ponomareva²

2020

Bus. Inform.

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Transport and communication infrastructure plays an important role in ensuring economic growth, also in the context of the Wuhan coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) spread worldwide. The role of the communication component increases with the epidemic and the associated restrictive measures, which replace, to a certain extent, the transport component. We offer an econometric study of the macroeconomic production function in the Russian Federation with transport and communication infrastructure (the fixed assets average annual value of the Russian transport and communications sectors) for 1990–2018. The arguments for this function are the average annual value of fixed assets in constant 1990 prices, the average annual rate of the use of production capacities in Russian industry, the average annual number of people employed in the national economy, the average annual value of fixed assets of transport and communications in constant 1990 prices. Our research demonstrates that in 2010–2018 the GDP elasticity to production infrastructure was decreasing. We explain this by the reduction in the volume of capital investments in the infrastructure sector’s fixed assets. In addition, we offer an analytical modification of the macroeconomic production function for 2020 in the context of the spread of the Wuhan coronavirus among the Russian population by introducing into this function the average annual rates of labor and infrastructure capacity use, which, along with the average annual rate of fixed assets capacity use are functions of the predicted values of the daily number of the infected Russian citizens. These predicted values are calculated by the time dependent Gaussian quadratic exponent estimated by the least squares. We present the accuracy of the forecast results for the 2020 spring trends of the daily number of Russian and Moscow population infected with the Wuhan coronavirus. The average APE forecast error for 30 days ahead for Russia is 10.4% and the same for five weeks for Moscow is 10%. Moreover, we make forecasts of the officially published daily number of infected Russian population for fall 2020 – spring 2021.

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Socio-Economic Effectiveness of the Development of the Railway Network in Siberia and the Far East: Mathematical Simulation and Forecast

Abstract: УДК: 656.2; 338.47 В. А. Садовничий а) , Г. В. Осипов б) , А. А. Акаев а) , А. С. Малков в) , С. Г. Шульгин г) а) Московский государственный университет им. М. В. Ломоносова

Cited by 6 publications

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Regional Economic Growth and the Heterogeneity Effect of Rail Network Connectivity in West Java Province

Regional Economic Growth and the Heterogeneity Effect of Rail Network Connectivity in West Java Province

Searching for mechanism of correlation of interests of the transport holding’s managers and employees

Wuhan coronavirus spread in Russia: macroeconomic production function in regard to transport and communication infrastructure

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