In a Swedish population-based case -control study, smoking showed no convincing association with risk of postmenopausal breast cancer -regardless of timing or level of smoking exposure -either overall or among subgroups. The role of smoking in breast cancer aetiology has been extensively studied (Band et al, 2002; Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer, 2002;Terry and Rohan, 2002;Lawlor et al, 2004). Yet, the association remains equivocal and much debated (Terry and Rohan, 2002;Johnson, 2005). Smoking has been proposed to increase breast cancer risk, based on studies showing breast epithelial genotoxicity of tobacco-related compounds (Morabia, 2002), but also to exert an 'anti-oestrogenic effect' and thence to reduce risk (Terry and Rohan, 2002).We present results from a large population-based study, on the associations between the hypothesised 'carcinogenetic mode' of smoking, that is smoking prior to first birth or among nulliparous women, vs the 'anti-oestrogenic mode', that is recent smoking and risk of breast cancer.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study populationWe conducted a case -control study of breast cancer among all Swedish-born women aged 50 -74 years, in Sweden between October 1993 and March 1995.Cases were women with an incident invasive breast cancer, identified through the six Regional Cancer Registries. Out of 3979 eligible cases, 3345 (84%) participated. Controls were agefrequency matched according to the age distribution of cases, and randomly selected from the study population, using the Registry of the Total Population. Of the 4188 eligible controls, 3454 (82%) participated in the study.
Data collectionStudy participants completed a postal questionnaire on average 4 months after diagnosis. Participants were asked in detail about their life-course smoking history and about other established breast cancer risk factors. Telephone interviews were conducted among controls who declined completion of the postal questionnaires. Out of all participating controls, 14% contributed information in this manner.
Classification of smoking historyWomen were defined as ever smokers if they had smoked a total of at least 100 cigarettes, or if they had smoked regularly for at least 1 year. Women were attributed a 10-year duration of smoking for each 10-year age period they reported to be smokers, if they smoked during age-periods before and after. If not, they were attributed a duration of 5 years for each 10-year age period they reported to be smokers. Lifetime pack-years was calculated as the average smoking intensity multiplied by the estimated smoking duration.
Statistical analysesRelative risks were estimated using unconditional logistic regression, adjusted for age in 5-year categories, yielding odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Possible confounders were included as covariates in age-adjusted models one at a time and included in the final models if they affected parameter estimates more than 10%. The tested covariates were age at first birth, body mass index, socioeconomic ...