Small Business Survival Capabilities and Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Oakland

Bartlett, Robert P.; Morse, Adair

doi:10.3386/w27629

Cited by 40 publications

(17 citation statements)

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“…Spring and summer were marked by a flatter pandemic curve, gradual reopenings of state economies, and the operation of the federal Paycheck Protection Program. 11 , 12 , 13 , 14 In contrast, fall and winter saw a resurgence in COVID-19 cases and deaths, the lifting of many state business closures, school reopenings, and termination of the federal Paycheck Protection Program. Second, the survey instrument changed between the 2 periods, with a nearly month-long gap between them, a shift from weekly to biweekly frequency, and, while the health insurance questions were asked in the same way, they appeared later in the questionnaire, resulting in higher nonresponse rates (eTable 2 in the Supplement ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends in US Health Insurance Coverage During the COVID-19 Pandemic

2021

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IMPORTANCE While most working-age adults in the US obtain health insurance through an employer, little is known about the implications of the massive pandemic-related job loss in March 2020 and subsequent rebound for rates of employer-sponsored coverage and uninsurance. OBJECTIVETo determine how health insurance coverage changed during the COVID-19 pandemic. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Analysis of trends in insurance coverage based on repeated cross sections of the US Census Bureau's Household Pulse Survey data, using linear regression to adjust for respondent's demographic and socioeconomic characteristics and state of residence. More than 1.2 million US adults aged 18 to 64 years were surveyed from April 23 through December 21, 2020. EXPOSURES The COVID-19 pandemic, separated into spring and summer and fall and winter time periods during 2020, as well as state Medicaid expansion status. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Regression-based estimates of the weekly percentage-point change in respondents' health insurance status, including having any health insurance, any employersponsored health insurance, or only nonemployer sponsored coverage. Nonemployer-sponsored coverage is categorized into private, Medicaid, and other public in some analyses. RESULTSThe study population included 1 212 816 US adults (51% female; mean [SD] age, 42 [13] years) across all 50 US states and Washington DC. Among these respondents, rates of employersponsored coverage declined by 0.2 percentage points each week during the COVID-19 pandemic.Other types of coverage, particularly from public sources, increased by 0.1 and 0.2 percentage points in the spring and summer and fall and winter periods, respectively. Overall, health insurance coverage of any type declined, particularly during the spring and summer period, during which uninsurance increased by 1.4 percentage points, representing more than 2.7 million newly uninsured people, over a 12-week period. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCEIn this cross-sectional study of data from the US Census Bureau's Household Pulse Survey, results showed that while public programs played an important role in protecting US adults from pandemic-driven declines in employment-sponsored coverage, many people became uninsured during 2020.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends in US Health Insurance Coverage During the COVID-19 Pandemic

2021

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“…In contrast with other studies that generally aggregate small businesses into one category, Bartlett and Morse (2020) use data from Oakland, California to appraise whether the ability of small businesses to survive the pandemic depends firm size. They find that a low‐cost structure helps non‐employer businesses survive amidst substantial declines in store foot traffic and that revenue resiliency aids businesses with 1–5 employees.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Lessons from the 2020 Covid recession for understanding regional resilience

Partridge

Chung

Wertz

2022

Journal of Regional Science

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The 2020 Covid‐19 recession differs from past recessions due to the immediate economic collapse, making it a unique setting in which to assess local economic resilience. Using county‐level data, we identify initial effects of the pandemic and accompanying stay‐at‐home orders on consumer spending, unemployment insurance claims, small businesses, and low‐income employment and earnings. We discuss heterogeneity related to pre‐pandemic county characteristics and find differences compared to past recessions. Counties with larger leisure services employment shares fared worse, while counties with less‐educated, younger workforces fared better. We find an ambiguous role of small businesses in contrast with favorable impacts during prior downturns.

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“…Granja et al (2020) found that the government support program, Payroll Protection Program (PPP), does not affect SME firm survival in the US. In contrast, Bartlett and Morse (2020) found the reverse in the medium term, where the effect is limited to microbusinesses. Wang et al (2020) found that small businesses may face financial, physical and technological barriers to accessing the bankruptcy system in the US during the pandemic.…”

Section: Literature Review Hypothesis Development and Datasetmentioning

confidence: 82%

“…While the current literature on COVID-19 has expanded rapidly, very few studies examine the effect of COVID-19 on firm survival (Alhawal et al, 2020; Bartlett & Morse, 2020; Calabrese et al, 2021; Clampit et al, 2022; Corredera-Catalán et al, 2021; Cowling et al, 2020; Gourinchas et al, 2020, 2021; Granja et al, 2020; Kells, 2020; Kuchakov & Skougarevskiy, 2021; Nurunnabi, 2020; Wang et al, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Covid-19, Fiscal Policies, and Small-and-Medium-Sized Firm Survival: Evidence From the Cross-Country Matching Analysis

Doruk

2022

Eval Rev

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Objective The present study examines the effect of fiscal policies on firm survival for small-and-medium-sized enterprises in the cross-country level firm-level data. Research Design A propensity score matching analysis is utilised for the post-COVID-19 period firms by using the World Bank Enterprise Follow-up Surveys for the pandemic period. Small-and-medium-sized enterprises are essential to the economy; firm failures can increase in a pandemic. Results The obtained findings show that the effect of fiscal policies has an essential effect on small-and-medium-sized enterprises survival in the COVID-19 pandemic period by using a cross-country heterogenous firm-level sample. Conclusions In this context, the present study shed new light on the link between COVID-19-related fiscal policies and small-and-medium-sized firm survival in developing countries.

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Small Business Survival Capabilities and Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Oakland

Cited by 40 publications

References 0 publications

Trends in US Health Insurance Coverage During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Trends in US Health Insurance Coverage During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Lessons from the 2020 Covid recession for understanding regional resilience

Covid-19, Fiscal Policies, and Small-and-Medium-Sized Firm Survival: Evidence From the Cross-Country Matching Analysis

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