This paper introduces the Arctan exponential distribution, a novel two-parameter trigonometric distribution. Various statistical properties of the distribution are examined, including hazard rate functions, cumulative hazard rate functions, mean deviation, reliability function, moments, conditional moments, incomplete moments, quantile function, entropy, Lorenz and Bonferroni curves, order statistics, and symmetry measures such as skewness and kurtosis. The parameters of the proposed distribution are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation method, and a simulation study is conducted to assess its performance. Two real datasets are utilized to demonstrate the significance of the proposed distribution, showing that it performs comparably or better than well-known distributions. Furthermore, the suggested Arctan exponential distribution is employed within the Bayesian framework. The model's parameters are estimated and predicted using posterior samples generated through the application of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique. The application of the suggested model involves employing the Stan software in conjunction with the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm and its adaptive variant known as the No-U-turn sampler (NUTS). A real dataset is utilized to showcase the methodology, and both numerical and graphical Bayesian analyses are performed, employing weakly informative priors. A posterior predictive check is also conducted to evaluate the model's predictability. The tools and methods employed in this study adhere to the Bayesian approach and are implemented using the R statistical programming language.INDEX TERMS Arctan distribution, Posterior distribution, Gamma prior, Credible interval, Lorenz curve
I. INTRODUCTIONStatistical distributions play a pivotal role in the field of probability theory and statistics, providing a mathematical framework to describe the behavior of random variables and the likelihood of various outcomes in a given dataset or phenomenon. These distributions are fundamental building blocks for various statistical analyses and inference tech-niques. By characterizing the patterns and variability of data, statistical distributions enable researchers and analysts to make informed decisions, draw meaningful conclusions, and quantify uncertainties in their findings. Each distribution possesses unique properties and parameters that capture specific data characteristics, such as central tendency, spread, and shape. The selection of an appropriate distribution de-