Simulation of storm surge, wave, and coastal inundation in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico region during Hurricane Ivan in 2004

Sheng, Y. Peter; Zhang, Yanfeng; Paramygin, Vladimir A.

doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.09.004

Cited by 83 publications

(52 citation statements)

References 23 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…To provide open boundary condition for SWAN, CH3D-SSMS uses the output of a large-scale wave model such as WaveWatch-III (Tolman 1999(Tolman , 2002. CH3D-SSMS has been used extensively to simulate storm surge and inundation due to various tropical storms including Hurricane Isabel (Sheng et al 2010a), Charley (Sheng et al 2006;Davis et al 2008Davis et al , 2010, Ivan (Sheng et al 2010b), and Wilma . Sheng and Paramygin (2010) combined the baroclinic circulation element of CH3D with CH3D-SSMS to forecast the storm surge, inundation, and 3D baroclinic circulation in northeast Florida during Tropical Storm Fay.…”

Section: Ch3d-ssms: Ch3d-based Storm Surge Modeling Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluation of coastal inundation hazard for present and future climates

Condon

Sheng

2011

Nat Hazards

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Coastal inundation from hurricane storm surges causes catastrophic damage to lives and property, as evidenced by recent hurricanes including Katrina and Wilma in 2005 and Ike in 2008. Changes in hurricane activity and sea level due to a warming climate, together with growing coastal population, are expected to increase the potential for loss of property and lives. Current inundation hazard maps: Base Flood Elevation maps and Maximum of Maximums are computationally expensive to create in order to fully represent the hurricane climatology, and do not account for climate change. This paper evaluates the coastal inundation hazard in Southwest Florida for present and future climates, using a high resolution storm surge modeling system, CH3D-SSMS, and an optimal storm ensemble with multivariate interpolation, while accounting for climate change. Storm surges associated with the optimal storms are simulated with CH3D-SSMS and the results are used to obtain the response to any storm via interpolation, allowing accurate representation of the hurricane climatology and efficient generation of hazard maps. Incorporating the impact of anticipated climate change on hurricane and sea level, the inundation maps for future climate scenarios are made and affected people and property estimated. The future climate scenarios produce little change to coastal inundation, due likely to the reduction in hurricane frequency, except when extreme sea level rise is included. Calculated coastal inundation due to sea level rise without using a coastal surge model is also determined and shown to significantly overestimate the inundation due to neglect of land dissipation.

show abstract

Section: Ch3d-ssms: Ch3d-based Storm Surge Modeling Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluation of coastal inundation hazard for present and future climates

Condon

Sheng

2011

Nat Hazards

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…CH3D-SSMS (Storm Surge Modeling System) is a modeling suite that features coupled CH3D and SWAN models for coastal dynamics and large scale surge-wave models that are used to extract boundary conditions for the coastal model [11,17], which has been used extensively to simulate storm surge and inundation due to various tropical cyclones including Hurricanes Charley [11][12][13][17][18][19]. Details of the CH3D model, including equations of motion and boundary and initial conditions, are described in [11].…”

Section: Ch3d-ssmsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Towards the Development of an Operational Forecast System for the Florida Coast

Paramygin

Sheng

Davis

2017

JMSE

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

A nowcasting and forecasting system for storm surge, inundation, waves, and baroclinic flow for the Florida coast has been developed. The system is based on dynamically coupled CH3D and SWAN models and can use a variety of modules to provide different input forcing, boundary and initial conditions. The system is completely automated and operates unattended at pre-scheduled intervals as well as in event-triggered mode in response to Atlantic-basin tropical cyclone advisories issued by the National Hurricane Center. The system provides up to 72-h forecasts forward depending on the input dataset duration. Spatially, the system spans the entire Florida coastline by employing four high-resolution domains with resolutions as fine as 10-30 m in the near-shore and overland to allow the system to resolve fine estuarine details such as in the Intracoastal Waterway and minor tributaries. The system has been validated in both hindcast and nowcast/forecast modes using water level and salinity data from a variety of sources and has been found to run robustly during the test periods. Low level products (e.g., raw output datasets) are disseminated using THREDDS while a custom defined web-based graphical user interface (GUI) was developed for high level access.

show abstract

“…Fritz et al (2010) simulated the storm surge occurring in the Arabian Sea with a spatial resolution range of 1 -80 km. Due to the high risk of storm surge, there were also many studies conducted in Louisiana, USA (Westerink et al, 2008;Wamsley et al, 2009;Sheng et al, 2010;Butler et al, 2012) and the 20 Gulf of Mexico area (Dietrich et al, 2011a;Dietrich et al, 2011b;Dietrich et al, 2012). Cheung et al (2003) also analysed the emergency plan for Hawaii based on storm surge simulations.…”

Section: Previous Workmentioning

confidence: 99%

Meso-scale Simulation of Typhoon Generated Storm Surge: Methodology and Shanghai Case Study

Dong¹,

Stephenson²,

Wakes³

et al. 2017

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. The increasing vulnerability of coastal mega-cities to storm surge inundation means both infrastructure and populations are subject to significant threat. Planning for further urban development should include consideration of the 10 changing circumstances in coastal cities to ensure a sustainable future. A sustainable urban plan relies on well preparedness and prediction of future climate change and multiple natural hazards. In light of these needs for urban planning, this paper develops a general method to simulate typhoon generated storm surge at the meso-scale (1 -100 km in length). Meso-scale simulation provides a general approach that could be implemented to fulfil the purpose of planning, and has relatively low requirements for computation time and data, while still providing reasonable accuracy. The case study of Shanghai was chosen 15 to implement this method. The meso-scale simulated results of two historical typhoons not only provides a realistic result at the city level, but is also suitable for implementing a large amount of simulations for future scenario studies. The method is generally applicable to all coastal cities around the world to examine the effect of future climate change on typhoon generated storm surge, even where historical observed data are inadequate or not available.

show abstract

Simulation of storm surge, wave, and coastal inundation in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico region during Hurricane Ivan in 2004

Cited by 83 publications

References 23 publications

Evaluation of coastal inundation hazard for present and future climates

Evaluation of coastal inundation hazard for present and future climates

Towards the Development of an Operational Forecast System for the Florida Coast

Meso-scale Simulation of Typhoon Generated Storm Surge: Methodology and Shanghai Case Study

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About