Simulating the impact of policy on patrol policing: introducing the emergency service incident model

Abstract

Detailed processes for emergency response work and demand and resource management can be recognisably modelled using system dynamics. The Emergency Service Incident Model (ESIM) successfully joins together the very short timescales associated with providing an emergency service to the public, to the far longer periods involved in planning for the recruitment and training of police patrol officers within Devon and Cornwall Police. A system dynamics model is presented which can help inform decisions on patrol officer staffing requirements. The impact of a range of policies can be studied to determine new and better ways to resolve the supply-demand equation that delivers frontline policing services to the public. A number of alternative policy interventions directed at improving police patrol officer incident resolution are highlighted in this study and related scenarios are tested. Results show that particular attention should be directed towards better management of the backlog of routine incidents.

Using Scripts for the Construction of Management Simulation Models in the Context of Multi-Agency Engagement

“…This helps reduce overall risk especially where one individual has to take responsibility for both modelling and facilitating. It is noted that recording has been previously established using live audio tapes and with contributor permission, this was the chosen solution for piloting GMB scripts with participants [20].…”

Dynamic Performance Management: An Approach for Managing the Common Goods

“…Emergency service [111] Supply-demand equation that delivers frontline policing services Air transportation [112] policies and strategies for air transportation (e.g., policies for reducing emissions of commercial aviation Local public policy [113] local public policy process Public sector unit [114] mortality rate of public sector units Concession pricing model [115] determining a rational concession price for highway projects based on pro forma financial statements Highway sustainability [116] highway sustainability based on individual policies with a crucial impact on the success of policymaking Academic performance [117] factors that affect academic performance of migrant student residing in poor migrant neighborhoods Maritime Sustainability [118] integrated sustainability assessment process Information in health care [119] emergent market behaviour enabling evaluation of different public health policies Climate change [120] electricity industry at the same time as addressing climate change issues Participatory urban [121] urban sensing for improving municipality's availability of environmental information at comparable cost level Wireless local area [122] effect of subsidization, revenue sharing, and alliance strategies Airport competitiveness [123] airport investment and city R&D inputs, which support decision-makers on airport competitiveness Electronic health records [124] combination of measures can promote the adoption of electronic health records by different stakeholders…”

Reporting guidelines for simulation‐based research in social sciences

“…Unfortunately, examples of poor practice are plentiful (see, for example, Fig. 4 in Carter and Moizer, ). Avoid clutter in presenting causal relationships of a model. For example, use multiple views and avoid crossing causal links or overlapping variable names.…”

“…Unfortunately, examples of poor practice are plentiful (see, for example, Fig. 4 in Carter and Moizer, 2011). • Avoid clutter in presenting causal relationships of a model.…”