Simulating the impact of natural disasters on urban development in a sample of earthquake

Şatır, Onur; Kemec, S.; Yeler, Okan; Akin, Anıl; Bostan, Pınar; Mirici, Merve Ersoy

doi:10.1007/s11069-023-05838-w

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…Natural disasters have increased in densely populated areas, resulting in negative awareness of the living environment ( 70 ). Studies have shown that well-planned and executed projects can positively impact residents' perceptions of their surroundings ( 71 , 72 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of mega-city construction engineering on urban livability: an explorative study of Yan'an

Liu,

Zhang,

Guo

et al. 2024

Front. Public Health

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Yan'an City is a typical squeezed city in China and faces the challenge of limited living space. The adoption of the “Mountain Excavation and City Construction (MECC)” program was poised to elevate the city's livability. Despite the importance of megacity construction projects, few studies have examined their impact on urban livability. This study aims to fill this gap by analyzing the effects of MECC and the satisfaction characteristics of urban livability in Yan'an City, based on survey data from both old and new urban areas. Employing factor analysis and multiple linear regression, this paper assesses the influence of MECC on urban livability across different demographic groups, including age, educational background, and occupation. The empirical findings demonstrate a significant positive effect of the MECC project on urban livability. However, during categorization discussions, some respondents expressed concerns about its negative impact. The results of multiple linear regression indicate that factors such as career prospects, residential satisfaction, interpersonal relationships, and transportation level significantly influence livability (R2 = 0.607 in ND and R2 = 0.609 in OD).

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the impact of mega-city construction engineering on urban livability: an explorative study of Yan'an

Liu,

Zhang,

Guo

et al. 2024

Front. Public Health

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“…However, we have found few applications of these models in the evaluation of natural risks. For example, the relationship between urban development modeling and the effects of the 2011 earthquake in Turkey is an interesting study that used the Cellular Automata Markov Chain (Satir et al 2023). Young (2013) simulated the expansion of the São Paulo Metropolitan Area in relation to risk using DINAMICA EGO.…”

Section: )mentioning

confidence: 99%

Performance of CA_Markov and DINAMICA EGO models to evaluate urban risk in Antofagasta and Mejillones, Chile

Henríquez,

Pontius,

Contreras

2024

Nat Hazards

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The rapid growth of cities worldwide is a phenomenon that has generated numerous debates about the effects it could have on the environment and society. An issue that has not been well addressed in the literature is the relationship between expected urban growth and risks to natural hazards. The relationship is an important aspect for planning because urban expansion is uncertain. In this sense, land change simulation models can be useful tools to address this uncertainty, because simulation models can produce growth scenarios, which allow anticipation of exposure to natural threats. This article compares two land change simulation models: the CA_Markov model in the Selva version of IDRISI and the DINAMICA EGO model. We apply both models to extrapolate areas of future urban gain in the coastal cities of Antofagasta and Mejillones, where there is high exposure to tsunamis, mudslides, and steep slopes. The models can extrapolate differently in terms of both quantity and spatial allocation of urban gain depending on the parameter settings. CA_Markov projected urban growth adjacent to existing urban patches, while DINAMICA EGO simulates greater dispersion and fragmentation given our parameter settings. We conclude that if modelers understand the models' behaviors, then applying these spatially explicit models to natural risks opens great prospects for urban planning and risk management, especially in countries highly exposed to dangerous natural events, such as in the case of Chile.

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“…In addition, some of the most recent publications in the field of earthquake-related architecture in Turkiye are as follows; structural damages in masonry buildings in Türkiye (2023) (Işık et al, 2023), remote sensing and urban modeling (Satir et al, 2023), structural damages (Caglar et al, 2023), reinforced concrete and masonry buildings damages (Aykanat et al, 2023), health resources after earthquake (Çiftçi & Sakallı, 2023) "post-earthquake temporary housing unit" (Avlar, Limoncu & Tizman, 2022) are accessed.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Publications on Earthquake Research in Architecture Category and Analysis with R Studio-Biblioshiny Software

DAL,

BURKUT,

KARATAŞ

2023

MBUD

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The purpose of this research is to examine the publications focusing on earthquakes in the category of architecture (web of science). The data of the research was analyzed with the Biblioshiny software program. This software program makes a bibliometric analysis on which topics and concepts earthquake research focuses. In addition, images and frequencies of publications related to architecture and earthquakes were revealed. The data of the research was collected between 1-15 July 2023. Results for Architecture (WoS Categories) AND earthquake* (Topic) OR earthquake AND architecture (Topic) OR earthquake AND house (Topic) OR earthquake AND structure (Topic) OR earthquake AND damage (Topic) OR earthquake AND city (Topic) OR earthquake AND urban (Topic) and Türkiye (Countries/Regions). Data were collected with keywords in the Web of Science database. According to the research findings, there are 1033 publications and in the country/region category (Türkiye), 83 publications are accessed. The most used words in the publications are earthquake, urban transformation, Istanbul, seismic, retrofit, assessment, structural, urban, damage, buildings and performance.

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Simulating the impact of natural disasters on urban development in a sample of earthquake

Cited by 5 publications

References 34 publications

Assessing the impact of mega-city construction engineering on urban livability: an explorative study of Yan'an

Assessing the impact of mega-city construction engineering on urban livability: an explorative study of Yan'an

Performance of CA_Markov and DINAMICA EGO models to evaluate urban risk in Antofagasta and Mejillones, Chile

Analysis of Publications on Earthquake Research in Architecture Category and Analysis with R Studio-Biblioshiny Software

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