Simulating and Communicating Outcomes in Disaster Management Situations

Abstract

An important, but overlooked component of disaster managment is raising the awareness and preparedness of potential stakeholders. We show how recent advances in agent-based modeling and geo-information analytics can be combined to this effect. Using a dynamic simulation model, we estimate the long run outcomes of two very different urban disasters with severe consequences: an earthquake and a missile attack. These differ in terms of duration, intensity, permanence, and focal points. These hypothetical shocks are simulated for the downtown area of Jerusalem. Outcomes are compared in terms of their potential for disaster mitigation. The spatial and temporal dynamics of the simulation yield rich outputs. Web-based mapping is used to visualize these results and communicate risk to policy makers, planners, and the informed public. The components and design of this application are described. Implications for participatory disaster management and planning are discussed.

2D vs. 3D Change Detection Using Aerial Imagery to Support Crisis Management of Large-Scale Events

“…During the preparation phase, surface and building models can be included in analysis and planning processes. Examples would be the modeling of explosions and their impact and consequences, the assessment of flood risks, and correspondingly adapted evacuation or site planning [6,8,9]. Furthermore, the observation and research of slope movements gives insights for possible early warning systems [10][11][12].…”

An Integrated Approach for Monitoring and Information Management of the Guanling Landslide (China)

“…Experts and other official managers can access the system through the internet with a computer or mobile phone. It extends desktop GIS capabilities to an internet environment and thus encourages the development of handy applications that are accessible, dynamic, and interactive [22,35]. In this study, the web-based platform was applied for further hazard investigation, emergency preparedness, planning mitigation, and response by improving the coordination of actions among all players involved in landslide response.…”