Shrinking cities: Notes for the further research agenda

Großmann, Katrin; Bontje, Marco; Haase, Annegret; Mykhnenko, Vlad

doi:10.1016/j.cities.2013.07.007

Cited by 226 publications

(114 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…For instance, Bontje (2005) [12] investigated in detail the relationship between urban shrinkage and the city government responses in Leipzig, and suggested development strategies for post-socialist cities. Although such case studies describe detailed but specific features of urban shrinkage, the context and dynamics of the phenomenon on a large scale should be focused on as well (Grossmann et al 2013) [13]. Haase et al (2014) [14] conceptualized urban shrinkage including such context and dynamics.…”

Section: Shrinking City Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

<b>Regional Differences in the Socio-economic and Built-environment Factors of Vacant House Ratio as a Key Indicator for Spatial Urban Shrinkage</b>

Baba

Asami

2017

URPR

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The phenomenon of urban shrinkage is surging through cities in Japan. To understand the current situation of urban shrinkage in Japan, the number of vacant housing would be one of the key indicators. The purpose of the study is to clarify the regional differences in the socio-economic and built-environment factors of vacant house ratio as a key indicator for spatial urban shrinkage. The characteristics of cities are identified by means of socio-economic and built-environment factors, which enable us to describe the current situation of spatial urban shrinkage more precisely. In this analysis, 771 cities in Japan are original units in order to articulate the geographical differences in urban shrinkage. To differentiate regions, we classified cities according to urban employment area (UEA) into 4 categories. Using 7 socio-economic and built-environment variables, a general linear mixed model was employed to clarify the statistical significances in each UEA category. The key findings were as follows. First, strong trends of vacant house ratio and its factors among categories were found. Second, socio-economic factors affecting vacant house ratio in each category were statistically significant in all the categories. Third, builtenvironment factors also had a clear relationship with vacant house ratio, but the influences varied among the four categories. Finally, in order to prepare for future spatial urban shrinkage, areas of anticipated spatial urban shrinkage were identified from the results of the study.

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Section: Shrinking City Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

<b>Regional Differences in the Socio-economic and Built-environment Factors of Vacant House Ratio as a Key Indicator for Spatial Urban Shrinkage</b>

Baba

Asami

2017

URPR

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“…First, there is an infrastructural dimension embedded in historical legacies. dh systems -which were planned and constructed under socialism in order to meet the needs of growing populations and industrial production -are now faced with a shrinking inner city and suburban sprawl (in line with wider trends in Eastern and Central Europe, see Großmann et al 2013;Petrova et al 2013;Stanilov and Sýkora 2014), which is technically and economically unsuitable for the delivery of centralized heat supply. a network designed under the former socioeconomic system thus not only functions sub-optimally under current market conditions, but its sub-optimality is being further deepened by external and internal systemic pressures: [d]uring the last two decades it has been known that the capacity of the distribution networks … [will remain unused] … because of the exclusion of industrial capacities that do not exist anymore, or decided to disconnect.…”

Section: A Complex Lock-in Through Rolling Path Dependenciesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Locked-in post-socialism: rolling path dependencies in Liberec’s district heating system

Bouzarovski

Sýkora

Matoušek

2016

Eurasian Geography and Economics

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Faculty of science, department of social Geography and regional development, charles university, prague, czech republic ABSTRACT This paper uses the experience of post-socialist district heating reforms to tell a broader story about the continued and shared challenges that central and eastern European cities face as they grapple with the legacies of the recent and more distant past. We argue that the restructuring of this infrastructural domain has been contingent upon geographically embedded trajectories stemming from previous historical periods, while leading to the creation of new socio-technical lock-ins. The paper thus develops the notion of "rolling path-dependencies" in order to explore how post-socialist developments both overcome and supplant previous trajectories of transformation. It focuses on the northern Czech town of Liberec -a place that is known for having some of the highest heating prices in the country -to elucidate how a socially, economically, and environmentally detrimental lock-in has come into existence as a result of illconceived policies of marketization, municipalization, and privatization. Using evidence from official documents and interviews with policy-makers, we demonstrate how the infrastructural legacies of post-socialism both persist and are being reproduced at the urban scale even within "advanced" reforming states like Czechia.

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“…In other words, population loss tends to be highly correlated with both (1) job loss and (2) vacancy and property abandonment, the latter of which precedes property demolition [8]. While the precise chain of causality involved in this complex relationship remains unresolved [5], most researchers and practitioners agree that these linkages between population, the economy, and the built environment mean that shrinkage, decline, and their many manifestations cannot possibly have simple, standalone policy fixes [16,17].…”

Section: On Shrinkage Decline and Their Causes And Symptoms: A Briementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Many former workers left industrial cities and regions altogether to seek employment elsewhere. The cumulative results of these and connected push-and-pull forces, in addition to natural demographic change [5], have left American cities such as Buffalo, NY; Cleveland, OH; Detroit, MI; Pittsburgh, PA; and St. Louis, MO; among others, with less than half of their peak populations [4].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Across the Global North, "shrinking cities" [1], alternatively termed legacy cities or cities in transition [2,3], are a cohort of older urban settlements that once played prominent roles in the industrial economy but, in the second half of the 20th century, experienced persistent, prevalent, and severe depopulation, economic contraction, and undesirable physical change [1,[4][5][6][7][8]. In the American experience, post-World War II federal highway and mortgage lending policies enabled mass suburbanization by pushing relatively affluent residents from central cities toward rapidly developing adjacent suburbs [9,10].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Can Shrinking Cities Demolish Vacancy? An Empirical Evaluation of a Demolition-First Approach to Vacancy Management in Buffalo, NY, USA

Weaver

Knight

2018

Urban Science

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Publicly-funded demolition of vacant structures is an essential tool used in shrinking cities to eliminate nuisances and, often, reduce vacancy rates. Concerning the latter, however, when shrinking cities implement large-scale demolition programs independent of complementary planning efforts, it is reasonable to expect impacts on vacancy to be negligible. Among other reasons, demolition operates only on the outflow of existing vacant structures and largely fails to grapple with inflows that add to vacancy over time. This article evaluates an ambitious demolition program in Buffalo, NY, USA, that sought, explicitly, to lower the municipality's overall vacancy rate. Evidence from statistical changepoint models and Granger tests suggest that, while Buffalo's overall vacancy rate, measured as undeliverable postal addresses, appeared to decrease around the time of the program, the drop was not linked to elevated demolition activity. The same finding holds for the subarea in which demolitions were spatiotemporally clustered. Although this lack of efficacy is potentially because the city failed to demolish its targeted number of structures, we argue that the likelier explanation is that demolition was not part of a holistic planning strategy. These results have important implications for using large-scale demolition programs as standalone vacancy management policies in shrinking cities.

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Shrinking cities: Notes for the further research agenda

Cited by 226 publications

References 27 publications

<b>Regional Differences in the Socio-economic and Built-environment Factors of Vacant House Ratio as a Key Indicator for Spatial Urban Shrinkage</b>

<b>Regional Differences in the Socio-economic and Built-environment Factors of Vacant House Ratio as a Key Indicator for Spatial Urban Shrinkage</b>

Locked-in post-socialism: rolling path dependencies in Liberec’s district heating system

Can Shrinking Cities Demolish Vacancy? An Empirical Evaluation of a Demolition-First Approach to Vacancy Management in Buffalo, NY, USA

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