Lake thermal regimes are frequently decoupled from rising air temperature trends in their watersheds because interactions among climate factors and local features affect net heat gain or loss. Although snowpack has been empirically linked to temperature and warming rates in mountain lakes, the mechanisms governing this relationship remain unclear and untested, despite predicted declines in mountain snow across the world. We quantified how snowpack and ice cover regulate lake warming in summer primarily by controlling when and how long lakes receive solar radiation, and we demonstrate the relative role of snowmelt on the lake heat budget. We contrast lake thermal responses between extremely wet and dry years and illustrate the increasing importance of other climate factors in the absence of snow.
AbstractMountain lakes experience extreme interannual climate variation as well as rapidly warming air temperatures, making them ideal systems to understand lake-climate responses. Snowpack and water temperature are highly correlated in mountain lakes, but we lack a complete understanding of underlying mechanisms. Motivated by predicted declines in snowfall with future temperature increases, we investigated how surface heat fluxes and lake warming responded to variation in snowpack, ice-off, and summer weather patterns in a high elevation lake in the Sierra Nevada, California. Ice-off timing determined the phenology of lake exposure to solar radiation, and was the dominant mechanism linking snowpack to lake temperature. The relative importance of heat loss fluxes (longwave radiation, latent and sensible heat exchange) varied among wet and dry years. Declines in snowpack and ice cover in mountain systems will reduce variability in lake thermal responses and increase the responsiveness of lake warming to atmospheric forcing.