“…There are many different methods for obtaining a velocity model from seismic refraction first-arrival times, ranging from forward modeling to analytic and geometrical methods to inverse and tomographic methods (e.g., Palmer, 1980;Zelt and Smith, 1992;Sheehan et al, 2005;Ellefsen 2009). Near-surface P-and S-wave velocity models provide essential constraints in applications ranging from hydrologic characterization to site hazard evaluation (e.g., Deen and Gohl, 2002;Asten et al, 2005;Zelt et al, 2006;Powers et al, 2007;Martí et al, 2008;Yordkayhun et al, 2009), but often these models include little or no quantitative estimation of uncertainty, resolution or non-uniqueness. Furthermore, it is seldom possible to know the true velocity model that is being sought, thereby leaving open the question of how robust these methods are and how confident we can be in the results.…”