2015
DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.22806
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Setting the stage for medieval plague: Pre‐black death trends in survival and mortality

Abstract: Together, these results suggest that health in general was declining in the 13(th) century, and this might have led to high mortality during the Black Death. This highlights the importance of considering human context to understand disease in past and living human populations.

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Cited by 55 publications
(51 citation statements)
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References 94 publications
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“…These results demonstrate the impact of method choice on survival curves, a finding that is significant given the increasing reliance on survival curves in bioarchaeological studies (e.g., Nagaoka & Hirata, , DeWitte, , DeWitte & Bekvalac, , DeWitte, , DeWitte & Yaussy , Betsinger & DeWitte, , Fojas, , Gamble, Boldsen, & Hoppa, , Mayus, , Plemons, Davenport, & Herrmann, , Weisensee, Shillinglaw, & Bereczki, ). In our study, the likelihood of survival beyond middle age was significantly reduced when traditional aging methods were used.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 63%
“…These results demonstrate the impact of method choice on survival curves, a finding that is significant given the increasing reliance on survival curves in bioarchaeological studies (e.g., Nagaoka & Hirata, , DeWitte, , DeWitte & Bekvalac, , DeWitte, , DeWitte & Yaussy , Betsinger & DeWitte, , Fojas, , Gamble, Boldsen, & Hoppa, , Mayus, , Plemons, Davenport, & Herrmann, , Weisensee, Shillinglaw, & Bereczki, ). In our study, the likelihood of survival beyond middle age was significantly reduced when traditional aging methods were used.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 63%
“…Sex is often not determined for prepubescent skeletons, and thus many paleodemographic studies are missing these data for (sometimes substantial) portions of their samples (in some cases, where sex is an important component of the overall research design, subadults are totally excluded from sample selection because of the issues with sexing prepubescent individuals). Examples of this in AJPA include studies by Alesan, Malgosa, and Simó (), Brewis et al (), DeWitte (), Douglas, Pietrusewsky, and Ikehara‐Quebral (), Fernández‐Crespo and de‐la‐Rúa (), Margerison and Knüsel (), Nagaoka and Hirata (), Owsley and Bass (), Rathbun (), Redfern, DeWitte, Pearce, Hamlin, and Dinwiddy (), and Wilson (). The estimation of adult sex is most often based on sexually dimorphic features of the skeleton, such as components of the skull and pelvis, and on long bone, dental, or cranial measurements.…”
Section: Problems With Demographic Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The general method of transition analysis can be applied to any skeletal features that exhibit regular patterns of change with age and is not dependent on the ADBOU software (e.g., see Godde & Hens, ; Konigsberg, Herrmann, Wescott, & Kimmerle, ). Several applications or evaluations of the performance of transition analysis and other Bayesian approaches to age or mortality profile estimation have been published in AJPA (e.g., Boldsen, ; Bullock, Márquez, Hernández, & Ruíz, ; DeWitte, ; DiGangi, Bethard, Kimmerle, & Konigsberg, ; Godde & Hens, ; Hughes‐Morey, ; Konigsberg & Frankenberg, ; Lottering, MacGregor, Meredith, Alston, & Gregory, ; Milner & Boldsen, ; Steadman, Adams, & Konigsberg, ; Stojanowski & Duncan, ; Storey, ; Usher & Christensen, ; Wilson, ; Wittwer‐Backofen et al, ).…”
Section: Potential Solutionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…All age groups are represented within the cemetery population, and they are buried within the same short period of the plague epidemic. However, older individuals will be a cohort who experienced the Great Famine of 1315–1317, which killed as much as 10% or more of the population of England (Kershaw ) and was followed by the Great Bovine Pestilence (1319–1320), which caused decades‐long milk scarcities (Kershaw ; DeWitte and Slavin ): their diet and health at that period may have affected their likelihood to survive the later epidemic compared with younger individuals with a better‐nourished childhood (DeWitte ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%