A B S T R A C T PurposeHuman papillomavirus type 16 (HPV16) infection is causing an increasing number of oropharyngeal cancers in the United States and Europe. The aim of our study was to investigate whether HPV antibodies are associated with head and neck cancer risk when measured in prediagnostic sera.
MethodsWe identified 638 participants with incident head and neck cancers (patients; 180 oral cancers, 135 oropharynx cancers, and 247 hypopharynx/larynx cancers) and 300 patients with esophageal cancers as well as 1,599 comparable controls from within the European Prospective Investigation Into Cancer and Nutrition cohort. Prediagnostic plasma samples from patients (collected, on average, 6 years before diagnosis) and control participants were analyzed for antibodies against multiple proteins of HPV16 as well as HPV6, HPV11, HPV18, HPV31, HPV33, HPV45, and HPV52. Odds ratios (ORs) of cancer and 95% CIs were calculated, adjusting for potential confounders. All-cause mortality was evaluated among patients using Cox proportional hazards regression.
Results
HPV16E6 seropositivity was present in prediagnostic samples for 34.8% of patients with oropharyngeal cancer and 0.6% of controls (OR, 274; 95% CI, 110 to 681) but was not associated with other cancer sites. The increased risk of oropharyngeal cancer among HPV16 E6 seropositive participants was independent of time between blood collection and diagnosis and was observed more than 10 years before diagnosis. The all-cause mortality ratio among patients with oropharyngeal cancer was 0.30 (95% CI, 0.13 to 0.67), for patients who were HPV16 E6 seropositive compared with seronegative.
ConclusionHPV16 E6 seropositivity was present more than 10 years before diagnosis of oropharyngeal cancers.
J Clin Oncol 31:2708-2715. © 2013 by American Society of Clinical Oncology
INTRODUCTIONHuman papillomavirus type 16 (HPV16) is recognized as a cause of virtually all cervical cancers and of a substantial proportion of other anogenital cancers and oropharyngeal cancers. 1 The association between HPV16 and cancers of the oral cavity and larynx is less clear but, if associated, the attributable proportion is small. 1 HPV16 has been associated with a rapid increase in the incidence of oropharynx cancer in some parts of the world, notably in the United States, Sweden, and Australia, where it is now responsible for more than 50% of cases.2-4 If current trends continue, the annual number of oropharyngeal cancers in the United States may soon surpass the number of cervical cancers.
2The only evidence for the temporal relationship between HPV exposure and development of head and neck cancers (HNC) comes from a study within the Nordic serum banks linked to tumor registries: a significant 14-fold increased risk for cancer of the oropharynx was reported for seropositivity to the L1 capsid protein of HPV16.5 Antibodies against HPV L1 represent cumulative past HPV infection from multiple possible anatomic sites (ie, genital, anal, or oral), are common in controls, and
© 2013 by American Society o...