“…The inflation stabilization problem utilizes the nominal system model [17] transfer function, which was already analyzed and validated for the respective historical data:…”
Section: The Macroeconomic Stabilization Problemmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This paper extends the robust systems model identification and (in)validation concepts [17] to analyze the implied and historical FED behavior under model and shock uncertainty. Section 2 covers the robust systems framework, Section 3 follows with the macroeconomic stabilization problem description and analysis in detail and Section 4 concludes.…”
This paper presents the implied United States Federal Reserve Bank (FED) policy behavior under multiplicative model and shock uncertainty, defined through performance objectives, cases by using historical data. Robust system theory frameworks are used to empirically study the characteristics of the FED short-term interest rate-inflation dynamics under different circumstances by using a single-input single-output model. The main result of this study demonstrates that the historical FED actions was conservative under model and shock uncertainty.
“…The inflation stabilization problem utilizes the nominal system model [17] transfer function, which was already analyzed and validated for the respective historical data:…”
Section: The Macroeconomic Stabilization Problemmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This paper extends the robust systems model identification and (in)validation concepts [17] to analyze the implied and historical FED behavior under model and shock uncertainty. Section 2 covers the robust systems framework, Section 3 follows with the macroeconomic stabilization problem description and analysis in detail and Section 4 concludes.…”
This paper presents the implied United States Federal Reserve Bank (FED) policy behavior under multiplicative model and shock uncertainty, defined through performance objectives, cases by using historical data. Robust system theory frameworks are used to empirically study the characteristics of the FED short-term interest rate-inflation dynamics under different circumstances by using a single-input single-output model. The main result of this study demonstrates that the historical FED actions was conservative under model and shock uncertainty.
“…With this new technique, the robust identification method attempts to provide information on the system initial conditions prior to the identification process. To incorporate the effects of the initial conditions on the system, a new set of parameter is introduced which the robust identification algorithm must find in addition to the solutions to the original problem of impulse response estimates formulated as follows [75,76]:…”
Section: Semi-blind Robust Identification Of Lti Systemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…By using the derivations in [75][76][77], summarized here, one can state that given the first N measurements such that {y i } N −1 0 , the error bound on the next output values at t = N is defined as:…”
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