Seismic Fragility and Risk Assessment of a Nuclear Power Plant Containment Building for Seismic Input Based on the Conditional Spectrum

Abstract

A procedure for the seismic fragility assessment of nuclear power plants by applying ground motions compatible with the conditional probability distribution of a conditional spectrum (CS) is presented with a case study of a containment building. Three CSs were constructed using different control frequencies to investigate the influence of the control frequency. Horizontal component-to-component directional variability was introduced by randomly rotating the horizontal axes of the recorded ground motions. Nonlinear lumped mass stick models were constructed using variables distributed by Latin hypercube sampling to model the uncertainty. An incremental dynamic analysis was performed, and seismic fragility curves were calculated. In addition, a seismic input based on a uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) was applied to the seismic fragility assessment for comparison. By selecting a control frequency dominating the seismic response, the CS-based seismic input produces an enhanced ‘high confidence of low probability of failure’ capacity and lower seismic risk than the UHRS-based seismic input.