Abstract. Germination timing of Arabidopsis thaliana displays strong plasticity to geographic location and seasonal conditions experienced by seeds. We identified which plastic responses were adaptive using recombinant inbred lines in a field manipulation of geographic location (Kentucky, KY; Rhode Island, RI), maternal photoperiod (14-h and 10-h days), and season of dispersal (June and November). Transgressive segregation created novel genotypes that had either higher fitness or lower fitness in certain environments than either parent. Natural selection on germination timing and its variation explained 72% of the variance in fitness among genotypes in KY, 30% in June-dispersed seeds in RI, but only 4% in November-dispersed seeds in RI. Therefore, natural selection on germination timing is an extremely efficient sieve that can determine which genotypes can persist in some locations, and its efficiency is geographically variable and depends on other aspects of life history. We found no evidence for adaptive responses to maternal photoperiod during seed maturation. We did find adaptive plasticity to season of seed dispersal in RI. Seeds dispersed in June postponed germination, which was adaptive, while seeds dispersed in November accelerated germination, which was also adaptive. We also found maladaptive plasticity to geographic location for seeds dispersed in June, such that seeds dispersed in KY germinated much sooner than the optimum time. Consequently, bet hedging in germination timing was favorable in KY; genotypes with more variation in germination timing had higher fitness because greater variation was associated with postponed germination. Selection on germination timing varied across geographic location, indicating that germination timing can be a critical stage in the establishment of genotypes in new locations. The rate of evolution of germination timing may therefore strongly influence the rate at which species can expand their range.Key words. Dormancy, maternal effects, natural selection, phenotypic plasticity, seasonal cues. Timing of seed germination is critical to the lifetime performance of the resulting plant. The conditions that elicit germination are the same conditions with which the young seedlings must contend, and those conditions can determine or predict conditions experienced throughout the life of a plant. Germination timing strongly influences seedling survivorship (Biere 1991;Gross and Smith 1991), total lifetime fitness (Miller 1987;Kalisz 1989;Masuda and Washitani 1992), life-history expression (Chouard 1960;Venable 1985;Kalisz 1989;Kalisz and Wardle 1994;Nordborg and Bergelson 1999;Galloway 2001Galloway , 2002, and selection on postgermination characters (Evans and Cabin 1995;Weinig 2000;Donohue 2002). An appropriate germination response to environmental cues is thereby the first requirement for establishment of plants in a location; before plants can display adaptive phenotypes for any adult character, they must first survive through germination.The timing of seed germination stro...