2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-92150-x
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Sea level rise outpaced by vertical dune toe translation on prograding coasts

Abstract: Sea level is rising due to climate change and is expected to influence the development and dynamics of coastal dunes. However, the anticipated changes to coastal dunes have not yet been demonstrated using field data. Here, we provide evidence of dune translation that is characterized by a linear increase of the dune toe elevation on the order of 13–15 mm/year during recent decades along the Dutch coast. This rate of increase is a remarkable 7–8 times greater than the measured sea level rise. The observed verti… Show more

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Cited by 25 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…While there is no clear and simple boundary between the beach and the dune (see Smith, Houser, et al 2020; van IJzendoorn et al 2021), the ensemble average profiles in Figure 7 can be used to approximate the transition where surf processes give way to aeolian processes. Because the ensemble‐averaged profiles are smooth relative to the original profiles, the boundary between the beach and dune is defined as the cross‐shore point that maximize the correlation coefficients for polynomial trendlines extending from the mean water line and the dune crest.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While there is no clear and simple boundary between the beach and the dune (see Smith, Houser, et al 2020; van IJzendoorn et al 2021), the ensemble average profiles in Figure 7 can be used to approximate the transition where surf processes give way to aeolian processes. Because the ensemble‐averaged profiles are smooth relative to the original profiles, the boundary between the beach and dune is defined as the cross‐shore point that maximize the correlation coefficients for polynomial trendlines extending from the mean water line and the dune crest.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Therefore, if a coastal area expands, a previously conducted accuracy assessment may fail to account for increased errors at the water's edge. Such expansion is common in freshwater environments such as the Great Lakes due to fluctuating water levels, or in marine environments where sediment supply outpaces sea level rise (Quinn, 2002;Hanrahan et al, 2010;van IJzendoorn et al, 2021). In most marine environments however, predicted coastal recession due to global sea level rise (Leatherman et al, 2000;Nicholls and Cazenave, 2010) may decrease the distance from NGCPs to the water's edge, reducing check point errors at the shoreline.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To date, there is little evidence progradation rates are declining in the face of anthropogenic sea level rise, and instead uplift for the Manawat ū coast is predicted to be 2-3 vertical mm yr −1 , though it is unclear whether coastal progradation was factored into this [59]. Nor is it clear how dunes might respond [61], perhaps affecting the dynamics of wetlands in novel ways.…”
Section: Coastal Managementmentioning
confidence: 99%