Scheduling and forecasting trends in agricultural sector of economy in modern conditions: methodological approaches

Shakhbazova, O.P.; Slozhenkina, M I; Kholodov, O. A.; Kholodova, M. A.; Mosolova, N I; Glushenko, A V; Mosolova, D.A.

doi:10.1088/1755-1315/677/3/032026

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

References 2 publications

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“…Exerting pressure on natural resources increases the likelihood of climate change escalating further [3,5,10,13,16]. Sectoral production under constrained resources grows until a certain level when the ecosystem cannot absorb more effort to produce (carrying capacity) [70]. With the projected drivers to continue growing and widely changing consumer behaviour evident, a market gap arises, necessitating importing constrained products to meet the local demand [71].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

European Green Transition Implications on Africa’s Livestock Sector Development and Resilience to Climate Change

Ndue

Pál

2022

Sustainability

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Green growth and the transition towards green growth are gaining scientific and public interest across Africa at an unprecedented rate. The Paris Agreement ratification by all 54 member states and the African Union (AU) goals in its Agenda 2063 on green economies are sufficient evidence of this. This is in line with the European Green Deal (EGD) aspirations, which envisages making Europe a carbon neutral economy by 2050. One of the EGD’s four main pillars is sustainable food systems. The success of EGD is premised on its ability to inspire and support green transition and effective climate action globally. The borderless nature of climate change necessitates a holistic approach to ensure the EU’s green transition does not come at the cost of development elsewhere. The main challenge is finding Africa’s space and position within the desired holistic approach, as Africa’s economy is agriculturally driven. One key African agricultural sub-sector significantly impacting livelihoods is livestock, which supports up to 80% of the rural livelihoods and which grapples with challenges in satisfying the needs of a fast-growing population. What could the EU green transition mean to this sector? We established that between 2010–2019, the African livestock population grew exponentially, and feed production followed the same path, with the share of land under forests, grasslands and meadows declining drastically. Over the same period, the percentage of land under arable farming increased while the animal-based protein and meat imports curve grew exponentially. This situation puts the continent in a dilemma about finding a sustainable solution for the food–feed and environmental nexus. Against this backdrop, a myriad of questions arises on how the green transition can be established to promote mitigating any loss that might occur in the process. We conducted a detailed sectoral trend analysis based on Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) statistics to find plausible solutions and pathways to achieve a greener transition. We coupled it with intensive policy mapping to develop science-policy-driven solutions that could promote the green transition sustainably. To sustainably accelerate the sectoral growth trajectory while addressing climate change, we recommend adopting and implementing raft measures geared towards increased sectoral efficiency, effectiveness, innovativeness and a holistic approach to the problem. Adopting transformative policies can promote the sector’s competitiveness through incentivisation, technological adoption, financial support, market support and increased awareness of its importance in sustainable development. However, exercising caution in implementing these practices is crucial to ensure there is no leakage effect in implementing the EGD across Africa and beyond.

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