Scenarios for Engaging a Rural Australian Community in Climate Change Adaptation Work

Smith, Jodi-Anne Michelle; Mulligan, Martin; Nadarajah, Yaso

doi:10.1007/978-94-007-0567-8_30

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…To achieve this, climate model scenarios are typically downscaled, impact models may be focused on sectors of interest, and multidimensional and often transdisciplinary scenarios are developed by exploring climatic changes in the context of other cross-scale and local factors, including stakeholder knowledge and goals (Carlsen et al, 2012;O'Leary et al, 2011;Shaw et al, 2009). Some scenario processes for adaptation are conducted in a relatively interpretivist, participatory manner in which participant perspectives, narratives, and choices are prioritised as much as expert knowledge and information delivery (eg, Cairns et al, 2013;Rounsevell and Metzger, 2010;Smith et al, 2011). Such an approach reflects the idea that stakeholder participation increases the effectiveness and adoption of appropriate adaptation measures because local knowledge improves the quality of the information used for adaptation decision making, increasing its credibility, salience, and perceived legitimacy (Cash et al, 2003;Lemos et al, 2012;White et al, 2010).…”

Section: Scenario Planning For Climate Change Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Problem of Fit: Scenario Planning and Climate Change Adaptation in the Public Sector

Rickards

Wiseman

Edwards

et al. 2014

Environ Plann C Gov Policy

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Adapting to climate change is a new responsibility for state and local government. Yet there is little clarity about what is involved, beyond an expectation of acting in a rational, informed manner. This paper presents a study from Victoria, Australia into public servants' perceptions and experiences of using scenario techniques for adaptation. It suggests that while scenario development is often positive for those involved, utilising scenarios to directly 'inform' adaptation decision making is more difficult. It seems that scenarios are a valuable but awkward form of evidence in the contemporary environment of evidence-based adaptation, introducing new substantive knowledge in an unfamiliar form, easily dismissed on credibility, legitimacy, and salience grounds. While scenario thinking is a good fit with climate change adaptation, it clashes with the predictive paradigm underlying the evidence-based decision-making model. This suggests that, for adaptation to better fit the institutional environment, alterations to the latter are needed.

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Section: Scenario Planning For Climate Change Adaptationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Problem of Fit: Scenario Planning and Climate Change Adaptation in the Public Sector

Rickards

Wiseman

Edwards

et al. 2014

Environ Plann C Gov Policy

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…Mulligan et al, 2006;Mulligan and Smith, 2010;Mulligan and Nadarajah, 2012). This has included work on ways in which a particular local community in Victoria, Australia might respond to the ongoing challenges of global climate change (Mulligan et al, 2009;Smith et al, 2011). In the course of these projects, he has been obliged to think deeply about the meaning and relevance of community in a changing world, and about the constant reshaping of place-based communities by the global flow of people, goods and ideas.…”

Section: 'Post-carbon Sociology'?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Towards a More Grounded and Dynamic Sociology of Climate-Change Adaptation

Mulligan¹

2014

environ values

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Lever-Tracy (2010) concluded from a review of major international sociological journals that sociology is 'lagging behind' in terms of research on the challenges of global climate change. More recently, John Urry (2011) contributed a rather speculative book on 'post-carbon sociology', yet sociologists continue to lag behind geographers and psychologists in contemplating the social and cultural dimensions of climate-change adaptation. The findings of the present paper suggest that the sociology of climate-change adaptation could take its lead from the work of cultural and human geographers on people-place relationships, and engage with art theory and practice to offer imaginative insights into the scope and scale of the climate-change challenge. Sociologists could also make a major contribution to current debate on the roles of community action and community engagement in climate-change adaptation, noting that the word 'community' is open to abuse and misunderstanding. Drawing on his own research on the challenges facing local communities in Australia and Sri Lanka, the author combines previously disconnected bodies of literature to identify some important points of departure for the journey towards Urry's 'post-carbon sociology'.

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Channelling the future? The use of seasonal climate forecasts in climate adaptation.

Rickards¹,

Howden²,

Cimp³

2014

Climate Change Impact and Adaptation in Agricultural Systems

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This chapter contributes to understanding the context of risk management by bringing together a diversity of literatures pertinent to the use of seasonal climate forecasts (SCFs). In particular, it examines the role of such forecasts in assisting agricultural producers to adapt to climate variability and change. SCFs are projections of the trajectory of major climatic variables (notably precipitation) over a timescale of weeks to months. They allow some revision of the probability of occurrence of specific climate conditions when compared with historic experience (i.e. climatology). The chapter critically appraises the perceived benefi t of SCFs for climate change adaptation. Focused on a discussion of agricultural production in developed countries, the chapter speculates about the potential disadvantages of producers relying overly strongly on SCFs.

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Scenarios for Engaging a Rural Australian Community in Climate Change Adaptation Work

Cited by 4 publications

References 2 publications

The Problem of Fit: Scenario Planning and Climate Change Adaptation in the Public Sector

The Problem of Fit: Scenario Planning and Climate Change Adaptation in the Public Sector

Towards a More Grounded and Dynamic Sociology of Climate-Change Adaptation

Channelling the future? The use of seasonal climate forecasts in climate adaptation.

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