Scenarios

Matulla, Christoph; Reichert, B.; Jaeger, Annekathrin

doi:10.1007/978-3-642-12957-5_12

Cited by 1 publication

(3 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…In Morocco, rainfall is expected to decrease by 10-20% by 2050 under the SRES A1B scenario [85]. The IMPETUS project forecasts a reduction in Moroccan precipitation of 5-30% (2011-2050) under the A1B scenario and 5-20% under the B1 scenario [86]. The B2 scenario predicts a 20% decrease by 2050 and a 40% decrease by 2080, with the exception of the Saharan zone (Figure 8).…”

Section: Rainfall Dynamicsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Statistical downscaling under the SRES B2 scenario suggested increased rainfall in December/January by 2071-2100 compared to 1990-2019, with notable decreases in February/March and drier conditions in spring [50] (Figure 9). Enhanced atmospheric humidity may contribute to higher rainfall amounts, especially south of the Atlas Mountains [86]. However, a decrease in winter precipitation is projected for the northern region [85,88].…”

Section: Rainfall Dynamicsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Historical climate reconstructions indicate that the 20th century was the driest period in North Africa since severe droughts occurred in the 13th and 16th centuries [92]. The REMO model forecasts a temperature increase of 2-3 °C in North Africa by 2050 under the A1B scenario, with Morocco expected to experience a temperature increase of 1.2 °C in the SRES A1B scenario and 1 °C in the B1 scenario, which is particularly accentuated in mountainous regions [86] (Figure 10). Climate models from a study by Patricola and Cook projected a substantial warming of approximately 6 °C in Morocco during the 21st century compared to the 20th century [93].…”

Section: Temperature Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Overview of Ecological Dynamics in Morocco – Biodiversity, Water Scarcity, Climate Change, Anthropogenic Pressures, and Energy Resources – Navigating Towards Ecosolutions and Sustainable Development

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et al. 2024

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In the context of Morocco’s rich biodiversity and pressing environmental challenges, this paper delves into the intricate dynamics of sustainable development in the country. With a focus on biodiversity conservation, water scarcity, climate change impacts, anthropogenic pressures, and energy resource management, Morocco is navigating ecosolutions and sustainable development. This research highlights the critical importance of biodiversity conservation efforts in preserving the nation’s diverse ecosystems while contributing to national development. Challenges such as forest reduction, agricultural water stress, and declining mammal diversity underscore the urgency of conservation actions. Climate change exacerbates issues in oases, impacting agricultural yields and ecosystem health. This paper also addresses the management of mineral resources and waste production, which pose significant challenges to environmental sustainability. Through strategic policies, international engagements, and capacity-building initiatives, Morocco is striving to achieve resilience and sustainability in the face of evolving global dynamics. By integrating governance, environmental diplomacy, and multilateral cooperation, Morocco is laying a robust foundation for economic growth, social progress, and environmental protection. This manuscript provides a comprehensive overview of Morocco’s environmental challenges, innovative solutions, and commitment to sustainable development in a rapidly changing world.

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Section: Rainfall Dynamicsmentioning

confidence: 99%