Scenario-based evaluation of urban development sustainability: an integrative modeling approach to compromise between urbanization suitability index and landscape pattern

Sakieh, Yousef; Amiri, Bahman Jabbarian; Danekar, Afshin; Feghhi, J; Dezhkam, Sadeq

doi:10.1007/s10668-014-9609-7

Cited by 62 publications

(20 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…When creating a SLEUTH simulation, the optimal parameter selection is based on the Lee-Sallee shape index [41] for the measurement of spatial fit between the modeled growth and the known urban extent for control years. A high Lee-Sallee value shows a high simulation accuracy [29,39,[42][43][44][45].…”

Section: A Simulation and Prediction Model For Urban Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling and Simulation of the Future Impacts of Urban Land Use Change on the Natural Environment by SLEUTH and Cluster Analysis

Kuo

Tsou

2017

Sustainability

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Abstract:Changing land use and urban expansion are key drivers of global environmental change, which are inevitable consequences of economic and social development for many cities. Most land use changes have a negative impact on the natural environment, especially due to their effects on surface temperature, runoff and habitat diversity. Due to the limitation of local government funding and expenditure, it is a challenge for developing countries to create strategies for urban sustainability. This study provided a systematic assessment method for simulating and analyzing the future impacts and spatial patterns of urban growth via cellular automata and cluster analysis. We used Tainan as a study area and compared the impact of future urban spatial development during two periods : 1993-2008 and 2008-2030. The results indicate that the impact of this development on the natural environment can be divided into six clusters. With an increased distance from the city center, there were increased changes in surface temperature and a decreased amount of runoff. These results indicate the occurrence of urban expansion, with habitat diversity being greater in areas governed by policies or ordinances.

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Section: A Simulation and Prediction Model For Urban Growthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling and Simulation of the Future Impacts of Urban Land Use Change on the Natural Environment by SLEUTH and Cluster Analysis

Kuo

Tsou

2017

Sustainability

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“…Impervious lands such as settlements and highways have sprawled rapidly with the cost of cropland, forest, wetland, and other lands with high ecological values in urban areas. In this case, although the urban landscape has been transformed into a manageable pattern in terms of its connectivity and compactness [10], the ecological habitat is greatly challenged because the urbanized landscape profoundly affects the related ecological processes and services [11]. In a socio-economic sense, sustainability revolves around two core themes (i.e., "social equity" and "economic balance") all the way through [11,12].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Urbanization and Sustainability: Comparison of the Processes in “BIC” Countries

et al. 2016

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Abstract:The urbanized world has brought social, economic, and environmental sustainability into challenged surroundings in rapidly rising countries, thereby requiring the exploration of their intertwined relationships. This study regarded Brazil, India, and China as "BIC" countries to be the representative study areas for our investigation of sustainability in the context of rapid urbanization. In general, our work was synthesized into a comparison framework in four aspects: rural-urban relation, industrial development, city development, and urban landscape pattern. We determined that rural-urban dichotomy exists in all study areas, with India and China having a high degree. China was identified as a manufacturing-based country in the past half-century, whereas Brazil and India have the service sector as their primary industry. The distribution of large cities follows a regional pattern, with Brazil being northeast-focused, China being southeast-focused, and India being comparatively balanced. The Amazon forest in the north brings great challenges to Brazil with respect to the conservation of its biodiversity and eco-environment. India and China have encountered tremendous urban expansion or sprawl in the past several decades. The sustainability issues in social, economic, and environmental aspects for Brazil, India, and China were summarized in the context of rapid urbanization to provide references for other countries.

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“…tial decision problem under various ecological and socioeconomic circumstances. There are two common methods for analyzing potential impacts brought about by disparate growth scenarios in geospatial studies: the parameter modification method (Mahiny and Gholamalifard, 2007;Rafiee et al, 2009;Dezhkam et al, 2013;Sakieh et al, 2014b), and model integration (Verburg et al, 2006;Luo et al, 2010;Sakieh et al, 2014a). The former is easy to implement and interpret in which scenarios are introduced through changing the model control parameters.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluating the strategy of decentralized urban land-use planning in a developing region

et al. 2015

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Scenario-based evaluation of urban development sustainability: an integrative modeling approach to compromise between urbanization suitability index and landscape pattern

Cited by 62 publications

References 38 publications

Modeling and Simulation of the Future Impacts of Urban Land Use Change on the Natural Environment by SLEUTH and Cluster Analysis

Modeling and Simulation of the Future Impacts of Urban Land Use Change on the Natural Environment by SLEUTH and Cluster Analysis

Urbanization and Sustainability: Comparison of the Processes in “BIC” Countries

Evaluating the strategy of decentralized urban land-use planning in a developing region

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