Safety Risk Modelling and Assessment of Civil Unmanned Aircraft System Operations: A Comprehensive Review

Abstract

Safety concerns are progressively emerging regarding the adoption of Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UASs) in diverse civil applications, particularly within the booming air transportation system, such as in Advanced Air Mobility. The outcomes of risk assessment determine operation authorization and mitigation strategies. However, civil UAS operations bring novel safety issues distinct from traditional aviation, like ground impact risk, etc. Existing studies vary in their risk definitions, modelling mechanisms, and objectives. There remains an incomplete gap of challenges, opportunities, and future efforts needed to collaboratively address diverse safety risks. This paper undertakes a comprehensive review of the literature in the domain, providing a summative understanding of the risk assessment of civil UAS operations. Specifically, four basic modelling approaches utilized commonly are identified comprising the safety risk management process, causal model, collision risk model, and ground risk model. Then, this paper reviews the state of the art in each category and explores the practical applications they contribute to, the support offered to participants from multiple stakeholders, and the primary technical challenges encountered. Moreover, potential directions for future work are outlined based on the high-level common problems. We believe that this review from a holistic perspective contributes towards better implementation of risk assessment in civil UAS operations, thus facilitating safe integration into the airspace system.