Russia’s war with Ukraine is to acquire military industrial capability and human resources

Johannesson, Jokull

doi:10.14254/2071-8330.2017/10-4/4

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…Within the framework of the first direction of research, the works [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11] should be highlighted. and the Russian Federation in 2014-2019 during the Russian-Ukrainian military conflict.…”

Section: Literature Review and Problem Statementmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…But, as in article [5], we are talking about the ineffectiveness of economic sanctions in 2014-2016, since there was a violation by Russia of international legal norms and increased participation in other military conflicts. The article [6] substantiates the invasion of Russia due to a shortage of resources in the military-industrial sphere, the replenishment of which occurs through the control of Ukrainian resources. Calculation of economic losses of Ukraine as a result of military intervention carried out in [7].…”

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confidence: 99%

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Patterns identification in the dynamics of countries’ technological development in the context of military conflict

Prokopenko

Bezliudnyi

Omelyanenko

et al. 2021

EEJET

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A comparative assessment of the dynamics of technological development of Ukraine and Russia for 2014–2019 has been carried out in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian war. A method for assessing the economic losses of the conflicting parties due to a slowdown in their technological development, under the influence of militarization, based on the parameter of technological progress of the Solow-Tinbergen production function, built according to the World Bank 1991–2019 data, was proposed and tested. It is substantiated that during the Russian-Ukrainian war, starting from 2015, the technological development of the Russian Federation was curtailed and the economy transitioned to an extensive basis, when the parameter of technological progress acquired a negative value. In the case of Ukraine, a deterioration in technological development was detected due to a decrease in the values of the parameter of technological progress during 2014–2019. It has been proven that the economic recession of the aggressor is the worst in comparison with the victim country, but the relative losses of GDP due to the curtailment of technological development caused by the war are much less. In the case of the Russian Federation as an aggressor country, it is substantiated that the main catalyst for the economic recession was the curtailment of the participation of the real sector of the economy in the international transfer of technologies under the influence of international economic sanctions. In the case of Ukraine, as a country-victim of military intervention, it is justified that the replacement of international partnership in the field of technological cooperation ensured a slowdown in the economic recession. The results of the development of methodological support for the process of assessing GDP losses of the parties to a military conflict are universal for use in international comparisons. The proposed methods are relevant in assessing the technological development of countries that are or were in a state of military confrontation, which significantly expands the basis for future research by the authors

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Section: Literature Review and Problem Statementmentioning

confidence: 99%

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confidence: 99%

Patterns identification in the dynamics of countries’ technological development in the context of military conflict

Prokopenko

Bezliudnyi

Omelyanenko

et al. 2021

EEJET

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“…Similarly, Lin et al (2015) find a positive trade-off between military expenditure and two types of social welfare spending including education and health sectors. Resource gaps in military-industrial capacity and human resources may even lead to wars (Johannesson, 2017). Some studies show that the relationship between military expenditure and social expenditure is mixed.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Military industry bubbles: are they crowding out utility investments?

Liu

et al. 2021

Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja

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The rapid growth in defence expenditure in China raises the concern that investments in the defence sector crowd out investments in social sectors, i.e., the 'guns for butter' argument. This article resorts to the bubble testing method to study the trade-off between defence and utilities sectors in the Chinese capital market. Based upon the generalized sup Augmented Dickey-Fuller (GSADF) test, this paper captures and date stampings explosive behaviors in defence and utilities industries using stock indexes. Empirical results reveal bubbles for defence and utilities sectors in similar time periods, thus indicating that the factors driving explosive movements are alike for both sectors. However, bubbles in a certain sector do not necessarily crowd out investments in the other sector. Through testing bubbles in the ratio of stock indexes of two sectors, we find that the explosive episodes vanish. The results indicate that the crowding-out effect between defence and utilities sectors does not exist in the Chinese capital market. Increases in the military expenditure in China are necessary to safeguard the national security because of frequent geopolitical conflicts and terrorism. However, the defence to utilities ratio is increasing rapidly, implying the possibility that excessive growth in military expenditure may generate the 'guns for butter' problem, which can be detrimental to economic growth.

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An Approach to Gamifying Acquisitions for Assessing Impact on Military Strategy of Nation States

Ruvinsky

Gonzalez

Richards

et al. 2021

2021 IEEE Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management (CogSIMA)

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Russia’s war with Ukraine is to acquire military industrial capability and human resources

Cited by 4 publications

References 14 publications

Patterns identification in the dynamics of countries’ technological development in the context of military conflict

Patterns identification in the dynamics of countries’ technological development in the context of military conflict

Military industry bubbles: are they crowding out utility investments?

An Approach to Gamifying Acquisitions for Assessing Impact on Military Strategy of Nation States

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