Run Effects of the Short-Run Stabilization Policies in Ukraine

Abstract

Based on of the quarterly data for the period of 2002-2021 and with the application of ARDL estimates it has been established that in the case of recession there are short-run expansionary effects of government expenditures and exchange rate appreciation. However, government expenditures become contractionary in the long run, along with monetary policy tightening. Liberalisation of economic environment, as indicated by the Index of Economic Freedom from the Heritage Foundation, is expansionary in the long run. Finally, about 80% of deviation from the long-run relationship is corrected in the short run. Key words: stabilization policy, fiscal-monetary mix, exchange rate, Ukraine, error-correction model (ARDL)