2023
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104009
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Role of hedging on crypto returns predictability: A new habit-based explanation

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“…Dunbar and Owusu-Amoako (2023a) show that the trading behavior of speculative retail traders, specifically net-short trading behavior, was a significant determinant of cryptocurrency returns, providing evidence that trading behaviors could predict crypto returns. In contrast, Dunbar and Owusu-Amoako (2023b) propose a new habit-based explanation for crypto return predictability and argue that risk-averse commercial traders' net positions in futures had a statistically significant and economically substantial impact on the predictability of crypto returns. This was particularly evident through its moderating effects on risk aversion and uncertainty channels, underscoring the role of hedging in predicting crypto returns.…”
Section: Global Main Pathmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…Dunbar and Owusu-Amoako (2023a) show that the trading behavior of speculative retail traders, specifically net-short trading behavior, was a significant determinant of cryptocurrency returns, providing evidence that trading behaviors could predict crypto returns. In contrast, Dunbar and Owusu-Amoako (2023b) propose a new habit-based explanation for crypto return predictability and argue that risk-averse commercial traders' net positions in futures had a statistically significant and economically substantial impact on the predictability of crypto returns. This was particularly evident through its moderating effects on risk aversion and uncertainty channels, underscoring the role of hedging in predicting crypto returns.…”
Section: Global Main Pathmentioning
confidence: 95%