Robots, Marriageable Men, Family, and Fertility

Anelli, Massimo; Giuntella, Osea; Stella, Luca

doi:10.3368/jhr.1020-11223r1

Cited by 12 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 22 publications

(43 reference statements)

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…In this study, we extend the work by Anelli et al ( 2021 ) and examine the effects of long-term structural changes in the labour market, driven by adoption of industrial robots, on regional fertility rates in six European countries—Czechia, France, Germany, Italy, Poland and the UK. As we demonstrated in Sect.…”

Section: Research Objectives and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 88%

“…We quantify workers’ exposure to robotisation following the methodology developed by Acemoglu and Restrepo ( 2020 ) and used, among others, in Dauth et al ( 2021 ), Anelli et al ( 2021 ), and O’Brien et al ( 2022 ): where is the country-level stock of robots across industries in year ; identifies the total number of workers (in 10 thousands) employed in sector in , i.e. at the start of the robotisation (hereafter initial) and denotes the initial distribution of employment in industry i across regions.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…On the other hand, however, technological upgrading driven by automation is likely to increase turnover in the labour market, increase uncertainty and force workers to re-skill, which, in turn, may decrease fertility. In the only published empirical study on the effect of robotisation on fertility, Anelli et al ( 2021 ) demonstrate that an increase in the adoption of industrial robots in the USA led to an increase in cohabitation and divorce and a decline—though not significant—in the number of marriages. Their findings also point to a decline in marital fertility and an increase in out-of-wedlock births.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…So far, little attention has been paid to this topic in fertility research. A notable exception among the published papers is the study by Anelli et al ( 2021 ) who investigated the effects of the adoption of industrial robots on marriage and fertility in the USA. Our focus is on Europe, where, despite large cross-country diversity, workers are much better protected against job loss or poverty (Esping Andersen, 1990 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Industrial Robots and Regional Fertility in European Countries

2023

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In this study, we examine whether the long-term structural changes in the labour market, driven by automation, affect fertility. The adoption of industrial robots is used as a proxy for these changes. It has tripled since the mid-1990s in the EU, tremendously changing the conditions of participating in the labour market. On the one hand, new jobs are created, benefitting largely the highly skilled workers. On the other hand, the growing turnover in the labour market and changing content of jobs induce fears of job displacement and make workers continuously adjust to new requirements (reskill, upskill, increase work efforts). The consequences of these changes are particularly strong for the employment and earning prospects of low and middle-educated workers. Our focus is on six European countries: Czechia, France, Germany, Italy, Poland and the UK. We link regional data on fertility and employment structures by industry from Eurostat (NUTS-2) with data on robot adoption from the International Federation of Robotics. We estimate fixed effects linear models with instrumental variables in order to account for the external shocks which may affect fertility and robot adoption in parallel. Our findings suggest robots tend to exert a negative impact on fertility in highly industrialised regions, regions with relatively low educated populations and those which are technologically less advanced. At the same time, better educated and prospering regions may even experience fertility improvements as a result of technological change. The family and labour market institutions of the country may further moderate these effects.

show abstract

Section: Research Objectives and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 88%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Industrial Robots and Regional Fertility in European Countries

2023

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The data on industrial robots is obtained from the International Federation of Robotics (IFR), which is commonly used in recent analysis (see e.g., Acemoglu & Restrepo, 2020; Anelli et al, 2021; Dauth et al, 2021). The data contain the stock of industrial robots for 50 countries broken down at the industry level, where data availability differs across countries.…”

Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Automation, robots and wage inequality in Germany: A decomposition analysis

Brall

Schmid

2022

Labour

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

We analyze how and through which channels wage inequality is affected by the rise in automation and robotization in the manufacturing sector in Germany from 1996 to 2017. Combining rich linked employer-employee data accounting for a variety of different individual, firm and industry characteristics with data on industrial robots and automation probabilities of occupations, we are able to disentangle different potential causes behind changes in wage inequality in Germany. We apply the recentered influence function (RIF) regression based Oaxaca-Blinder (OB) decomposition on several inequality indices and find evidence that besides personal characteristics like age and education the rise in automation and robotization contributes significantly to wage inequality in Germany. Structural shifts in the workforce composition towards occupations with lower or medium automation threat lead to higher wage inequality, which is observable over the whole considered time period. The effect of automation on the wage structure results in higher inequality in the 1990s and 2000s, while it has a significant decreasing inequality effect for the upper part of the wage distribution in the more recent time period.

show abstract

The impact of robots on labor demand: evidence from job vacancy data in South Korea

Kim

2024

Empir Econ

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Robots, Marriageable Men, Family, and Fertility

Cited by 12 publications

References 22 publications

Industrial Robots and Regional Fertility in European Countries

Industrial Robots and Regional Fertility in European Countries

Automation, robots and wage inequality in Germany: A decomposition analysis

The impact of robots on labor demand: evidence from job vacancy data in South Korea

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About