Risk Assessment for Cruise Ship Navigation Safety of Inland Waterway Based on Evidential Reasoning

Gan, Weidong; Huang, Ming; Li, Yanwei; Yang, Zongmo

doi:10.1109/ictis.2019.8883595

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Wu et al 18 highlighted an assessment method of multi-source information fusion on the D-S evidence theory. Considering the uncertainty of risk degree assessment, Gan et al 19 also proposed a novel method. Yang et al 20 presented a process of multiple-criterion decision-making under the uncertainty and incomplete environment.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Novel assessment and prediction method for vessel traffic risk degree

2021

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O:

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To assess the current risk degree and predict the future risk degree of vessel traffic, a novel method is put forward in this study. Different from the existing literature, the available evidence of vessel traffic is directly transformed into the weighted basic probabilistic assignment (BPA) based on the optimal solution to the intersection of fuzzy membership functions in the framework of D-S evidence theory. The matrix deformation algorithm towards the combination rule makes the time complexity low in the process of the risk degree assessment. With respect to the risk degree prediction, the required Sigma points are effectively extracted. We derive the adaptive filtering gain that is suitable for the rapidly changing BPA. Finally, the experiments of vessel traffic in the Dalin Bay are made to indicate performance of the proposed method.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Novel assessment and prediction method for vessel traffic risk degree

2021

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O:

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“…First, an improved D-S evidence theory on safety risk perception was proposed in [17], where the combination rule and weighted rule were utilized to synthesize multi-evidence. Concerning on the waterways risk, a navigation assessment model based on D-S evidence theory was proposed in [18], which utilized the evidential reasoning and index level to merge BPA. Then, [19] embroidery complemented the risk analysis and helped the decision maker.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Innovative Decision and Forecasting Approach on Navigation Risk

Tian

et al. 2020

IEEE Access

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In view to the unstable navigation risk assessment and make the future navigation risk forecasting, an innovative decision and forecasting approach is put forward in this study. Different from the existing literature, at the current time step, we first deduce an enhanced evidence combination rule to integrate uncertain and conflicting evidences by using weighted basic probabilistic assignment and matrix operation. As a result, a stable decision is effectively achieved no matter what characteristics of the available evidences are. Further, an improved α-β filter is designed with its adaptive coefficients in the novel filtering framework in order to forecast the future navigation risk. What's more, it is an excellent communication between the combined basic probabilistic assignment and the improved α-β filter for the first time. After the deep analysis of the computational complexity, a plenty of numeric simulations and actual experiments are provided to indicate the reliability and efficiency of the proposed approach.

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An analysis of research trends of inland waterway utilizing social network analysis

Choi

Gi-Tae

2023

The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics

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Risk Assessment for Cruise Ship Navigation Safety of Inland Waterway Based on Evidential Reasoning

Cited by 4 publications

References 0 publications

Novel assessment and prediction method for vessel traffic risk degree

Novel assessment and prediction method for vessel traffic risk degree

Innovative Decision and Forecasting Approach on Navigation Risk

An analysis of research trends of inland waterway utilizing social network analysis

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