Risk analysis of the soft targets according to the methodology

Abstract

The article deals with the fact that religiously motivated terrorism has become more common in Europe, and more than 50% of the attacks have been focused on so-called Soft Targets. The purpose of this paper is to make a risk analysis of a particular Soft Target by the Ministry of the Interior methodology. The Tax Office of the Zlin region was chosen as a Soft Target. Auxiliary tables – Likelihood and Impact are necessary for this methodology. Performing an attack, Place of attack, and Time of attack are very important too. The Degree of Threat is determined as the product of Total Likelihood and Total Impact. Risk analysis shows that the highest risk factor is the possibility of a bomb attack that could happen inside the building during the daily working time. The risk analysis should help to find weaknesses of the soft targets, and the security managers should take precautions to reduce the risk.

Terör Örgütleri̇ni̇n Hedef Seçi̇mleri̇ndeki̇ Deği̇şi̇m: Yumuşak Hedeflere Kavramsal Per

“…Analizin sonucu, toplam olasılığın ve toplam etkinin ürünü olarak belirlenen bir tehdit derecesini ortaya çıkarmaktadır (Zimek, 2020). Günümüzde terör örgütlerinin sınır ötesine uzanması, geçmişe nazaran daha gevşek ve örtülü faaliyet alanlarında yer almaları, eylemlerinde kurbanları ve hedefleri ayrım gözetmeksizin seçmeleri sorunu daha büyük bir tehdit durumuna dönüştürmektedir (Duyvesteyn, 2004).…”