Abstract. Evapotranspiration (ET) is critical in linking global water, carbon and
energy cycles. However, direct measurement of global terrestrial ET is not
feasible. Here, we first reviewed the basic theory and state-of-the-art
approaches for estimating global terrestrial ET, including remote-sensing-based physical models, machine-learning algorithms and land surface
models (LSMs). We then utilized 4 remote-sensing-based physical models,
2 machine-learning algorithms and 14 LSMs to analyze the spatial and
temporal variations in global terrestrial ET. The results showed that the
ensemble means of annual global terrestrial ET estimated by these three
categories of approaches agreed well, with values ranging from 589.6 mm yr−1
(6.56×104 km3 yr−1) to 617.1 mm yr−1
(6.87×104 km3 yr−1). For the period from 1982 to 2011, both
the ensembles of remote-sensing-based physical models and machine-learning
algorithms suggested increasing trends in global terrestrial ET (0.62 mm yr−2 with a significance level of p<0.05 and 0.38 mm yr−2 with a significance level of p<0.05,
respectively). In contrast, the ensemble mean of the LSMs showed no
statistically significant change (0.23 mm yr−2, p>0.05),
although many of the individual LSMs reproduced an increasing trend.
Nevertheless, all 20 models used in this study showed that anthropogenic
Earth greening had a positive role in increasing terrestrial ET. The
concurrent small interannual variability, i.e., relative stability, found in
all estimates of global terrestrial ET, suggests that a potential
planetary boundary exists in regulating global terrestrial ET, with the value of this boundary being
around 600 mm yr−1. Uncertainties among approaches were identified in
specific regions, particularly in the Amazon Basin and arid/semiarid
regions. Improvements in parameterizing water stress and canopy dynamics,
the utilization of new available satellite retrievals and deep-learning methods,
and model–data fusion will advance our predictive understanding of global
terrestrial ET.