Rethinking the dependent variable in voting behavior: On the measurement and analysis of electoral utilities

Eijk, Cees van der; Brug, Wouter van der; Kroh, Martin; Franklin, Mark N.

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2005.06.012

Cited by 247 publications

(187 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…Each respondent needs to be represented multiple times in the analysis, once for each of the parties analyzed (e.g., Banducci et al, 2017; Barabas & Jerit, 2009; van der Eijk, Franklin, & Oppenhuis, 1996; van der Eijk, van der Brug, Kroh, & Franklin, 2006). We achieve this by stacking the data in a way that respondents are represented for the respective parties, in our case four times.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Johann

Königslöw

Kritzinger

et al. 2017

Political Communication

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An increasing number of citizens change and adapt their party preferences during the electoral campaign. We analyze which short-term factors explain intra-campaign changes in voting preferences, focusing on the visibility and tone of news media reporting and party canvassing. Our analyses rely on an integrative data approach, linking data from media content analysis to public opinion data. This enables us to investigate the relative impact of news media reporting as well as party communication. Inherently, we overcome previously identified methodological problems in the study of communication effects on voting behavior. Our findings reveal that campaigns matter: Especially interpersonal party canvassing increases voters’ likelihood to change their voting preferences in favor of the respective party, whereas media effects are limited to quality news outlets and depend on individual voters’ party ambivalence.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Johann

Königslöw

Kritzinger

et al. 2017

Political Communication

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“…Although vote propensity scores do not explicitly refer to a person's vote intention in the current election, they nevertheless correlate extremely strongly with actual vote choice (Van Der Eijk et al 2006). This was true also in the 2007 Swiss elections.…”

Section: Approachmentioning

confidence: 67%

“…Moreover, vote choice is difficult to code in Switzerland because panachage allows voters to cast votes for more than one party. For all of these reasons, this article does not focus on vote choice but on a proxy -vote propensity (Van Der Eijk et al 2006). Vote propensities capture a person's inclination to vote for a particular political party.…”

Section: Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The goal is to explore the cantonal, communal, and individual sources of voting behavior. The article concentrates on voting propensities (Van Der Eijk et al 2006) as a proxy for vote choice and analyzes these using hierarchical linear models (Bryk and Raudenbush 1992;Snijders and Bosker 1999;Steenbergen and Jones 2002). The focus is on the 2007 elections and the five largest political parties: CVP, FDP, Greens, SP, and SVP.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Decomposing the Vote: Individual, Communal, and Cantonal Sources of Voting Behavior in Switzerland

Steenbergen

2010

Swiss Political Sci Review

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This article considers individual, communal, and cantonal sources of voting behavior in the 2007 National Council elections in Switzerland. Using hierarchical linear models, it is shown how the vote propensity for the five main parties (CVP, FDP, Greens, SP, and SVP) varies across individuals, communes, and cantons. Key explanatory factors at each of these levels are explored, as well as cross‐party differences in the effects of these factors.

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“…A promising candidate to become the dependent variable is the propensity to vote (henceforth PTV) for the main parties that ran in the 2006 Italian National Elections (Tillie, 1995;van der Eijk and Franklin, 1996;van der Eijk et al, 2006). ITANES (2006) presents the classical formulation of the question: respondents are asked to indicate, on an 11-point scale, how likely it is that they will ever vote for several parties and for the two coalitions that ran in the 2006 elections, l'Unione and la Casa delle Libertà.…”

Section: Data and Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Contexts, networks, and voting behavior: the social flow of political communication in Italy

Mancosu

2016

Italian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana di Scienza Po

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Previous research demonstrated that different contextual sources can affect voting behavior. Homogeneous familiar networks affect individual behavior of people embedded in these networks toward voting for certain parties. Moreover, being exposed to higher levels of homogeneity in the geographical place where one lives contributes to developing higher propensities to vote for a certain political object. By means of 2006 National Italian Elections data (and by employing new measures of network political homogeneity), this paper tests, with multilevel models, the hypothesis according to which networks and geographical context interact while affecting individuals' voting behavior. Results confirm such a hypothesis, showing that familiar networks represent a 'social bubble', which limits the likelihood of being affected by the broader context.

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Rethinking the dependent variable in voting behavior: On the measurement and analysis of electoral utilities

Cited by 247 publications

References 22 publications

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Intra-Campaign Changes in Voting Preferences: The Impact of Media and Party Communication

Decomposing the Vote: Individual, Communal, and Cantonal Sources of Voting Behavior in Switzerland

Contexts, networks, and voting behavior: the social flow of political communication in Italy

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