Research on peak prediction of urban differentiated carbon emissions -- a case study of Shandong Province, China

Tian, Suqing; Xu, Yang; Wang, Qingsong; Zhang, Yujie; Yuan, Xueliang; Ma, Qiao; Chen, Leping; Ma, Haichao; Liu, Jixiang; Liu, Chengqing

doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134050

Cited by 40 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 53 publications

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“…Among them, 8 cities will reach their peak year around 2025, 5 cities will reach their peak year around 2028, and 2 cities will be able to reach their peak year before 2030. [5]…”

Section: Current Research Status At Home and Abroadmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on differentiated carbon emission reduction path under the background of coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei

2023

erej

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The coordinated development of Beijing Tianjin Hebei is a national strategy, which implements the coordinated development of Beijing Tianjin Hebei, promotes the coordination ability of regional economy, improves regional competitiveness, and thus promotes the development of the national economy. The Carrying capacity of the Beijing Tianjin Hebei region is limited. Although the environment of the three regions has been significantly improved through strong environmental protection measures in recent years, the large-scale and high emission development means have completely exceeded the Carrying capacity of the region. Carbon reduction can reduce the emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, thereby reducing the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, slowing down the trend of global warming, protecting the Earth's ecological environment, and promoting sustainable development. For the Beijing Tianjin Hebei region, implementing carbon reduction should not be limited to a single province or city, but should be viewed from the perspective of regional coordinated development. This article first analyzes the current situation of environmental protection in the Beijing Tianjin Hebei region, and then analyzes the limitations of carbon reduction in the three regions. Finally, it proposes carbon reduction measures based on regional synergy perspective.

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“…Among them, 8 cities will reach their peak year around 2025, 5 cities will reach their peak year around 2028, and 2 cities will be able to reach their peak year before 2030. [5]…”

Section: Current Research Status At Home and Abroadmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on differentiated carbon emission reduction path under the background of coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei

2023

erej

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“…Climate change caused by carbon emissions has become a major challenge for the world today (Tian et al, 2022). Efforts to reduce carbon emissions in China, the world's largest emitter, are particularly important in this country (Chen et al, 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The carbon emissions calculation, decomposition and peak scenario simulation of meat, egg, and milk in China: from a production and consumption perspective

Zhou,

Chen,

et al. 2024

Clean Techn Environ Policy

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Characterizing and quantifying livestock carbon emissions helps mitigate temperature rise and potential climate risks. Here, the spatial and temporal characteristics of China's carbon emissions of meat, egg, and milk are analyzed from the perspective of production and consumption. A driving factor decomposition model of carbon emissions of meat, egg, and milk production and consumption is established using the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI). Using a static scenario analysis and dynamic Monte Carlo simulations (MCS), the evolution trajectory of carbon peak in meat, egg, and milk production and consumption in China during 2021-2030 is analyzed. China's carbon emissions from meat, egg, and milk production and consumption have risen in 2020, reaching 794.1 and 465.88 Mt, respectively. Moreover, western China has the highest carbon emissions in production (33.84%). For consumption, the carbon emissions are mainly concentrated in the eastern region (42.96%). The key drivers of carbon emissions for this production and consumption are the farmland value and residential income effects, respectively. Conversely, reverse urbanization, agricultural industry structure, and food money purchasing power effects play significant suppressive roles. Under the business-as-usual scenario (BAU), China's carbon emissions from meat, egg, and milk production and consumption in 2030 will increase by 40.1% and 4.86% from 2020, respectively. The middle low-carbon scenario (Mid-LC) mitigates carbon emission growth by 24.51% and −5.7%, respectively, for the production and consumption of meat, egg, and milk in 2030 compared to 2020. In the highly low-carbon scenario (Hig-LC), production and consumption will achieve a carbon peak by 2030. Ultimately, this study highlights the importance of reducing carbon emissions from livestock on production and consumption, providing a new perspective for green development in China and other emerging economies.

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“…A 'carbon neutrality' approach to deep decarbonization is becoming a significant trend in the evolution of the global energy economy [3,4]. From the Kyoto Protocol to The Paris Agreement, the division of responsibility for the reduction of CO 2 emissions has always been at the heart of the international approach to CO 2 emissions [5]. Based on the constraints of the global CO 2 emissions and the realistic requirements of domestic economic transformation, China is actively fulfilling its commitments under the National Autonomous Contribution framework.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Horizontal CO2 Compensation in the Yangtze River Delta Based on CO2 Footprints and CO2 Emissions Efficiency

Wang

Zhang

Zhao

et al. 2023

IJERPH

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Purpose: In this study, we attempted to reduce the negative economic externalities related to Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions in the Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) and designed a cross-municipality responsibility-sharing mechanism. Methods: We estimated the municipal CO2 footprints in the YRD from 2000 to 2019 based on nighttime light data and measured CO2 emissions efficiency using a super slack-based measurement (super-SBM) model. Based on this, we designed a scenario of horizontal CO2 compensation among the YRD’s municipalities from the perspectives of both CO2 footprints and CO2 trading (CO2 unit prices in trading were determined based on CO2 emissions efficiency). Results: The results showed the following: (1) The CO2 footprints evolution of the YRD municipalities could be divided into four categories, among which, eleven municipalities showed a decreasing trend. Thirteen municipalities stabilized their CO2 footprints. Thirteen municipalities exhibited strong growth in their CO2 footprints, whereas four municipalities maintained a low level of slow growth. (2) Spatially, CO2 emissions efficiency evolved from a broad distribution of low values to a mosaic distribution of multi-type zones. (3) After 2011, the ratio of CO2 footprint compensation amounts to local Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in most municipalities was less than 0.01%, with its center of gravity shifting cyclically. It was appropriate to start charging the CO2 footprint compensation amounts after 2011, with a dynamic adjustment of 3 years. (4) After 2007, the supply–demand relationship of CO2 trading continued to deteriorate, and it eased in 2016. However, its operational mechanism was still very fragile and highly dependent on a few pioneering municipalities. Innovations: In this study, we designed a horizontal CO2 compensation mechanism from the binary perspective of CO2 footprints and CO2 trading. In this mechanism, the former determines the CO2 footprint compensation amounts paid by each municipality based on whether the CO2 footprint exceeds its CO2 allowance. The latter determines the CO2 trading compensation amounts paid by the purchasing municipalities based on their CO2 emissions efficiency. This system balances equity and efficiency and provides new ideas for horizontal CO2 compensation.

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Research on peak prediction of urban differentiated carbon emissions -- a case study of Shandong Province, China

Cited by 40 publications

References 53 publications

Research on differentiated carbon emission reduction path under the background of coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei

Research on differentiated carbon emission reduction path under the background of coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei

The carbon emissions calculation, decomposition and peak scenario simulation of meat, egg, and milk in China: from a production and consumption perspective

Horizontal CO2 Compensation in the Yangtze River Delta Based on CO2 Footprints and CO2 Emissions Efficiency

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