Representative systems and policy punctuations

Fagan, E. J.; Jones, Bryan D.; Wlezien, Christopher

doi:10.1080/13501763.2017.1296483

Cited by 23 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…In budget‐making systems for instance, punctuated equilibrium dynamics seem to be the rule rather than the exception (Baumgartner et al, ; Breunig & Koski, ; Chan & Zhao, ; Citi, ; Fagan et al, ). All of the budget‐making systems considered in Table display significantly more leptokurtosis than ECB communications policy, lending support to H.…”

Section: Analysis and Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Talk is not cheap: Policy agendas, information processing, and the unusually proportional nature of European Central Bank communications policy responses

Cross

Greene

2019

Governance

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This article unveils the policy agenda of the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council as found in the speeches that Governing Council Members gave between 1999 and 2018. Using a dynamic topic‐modeling approached based on non‐negative matrix factorization, we demonstrate how the issues discussed by ECB Governing Council members have evolved over time, and how the general punctuation hypothesis (Jones, B. D. & Baumgartner, F. R. (2005). The politics of attention: How government prioritizes problems. University of Chicago Press) sheds light on what drives this process. We find that unlike policy outputs from many other policymaking systems, ECB communications evolve in a proportional manner. We attribute this finding to the information‐processing capacities of the bank. Our findings speak to the literatures on central bank communications, the evolution of policy agendas, and the application of topic models to speech texts.

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Section: Analysis and Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Talk is not cheap: Policy agendas, information processing, and the unusually proportional nature of European Central Bank communications policy responses

Cross

Greene

2019

Governance

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“…Only very recently this appears to change. While measuring responsiveness indirectly due to data limitations, Fagan, Jones, and Wlezien () for instance show that the extensiveness of punctuations differs in response to varying democratic responsiveness.…”

Section: Discussion and Avenues For Future Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The integration of representation and public policy theories into a common framework may therefore provide a fruitful endeavor for future research. Recent developments in the field might be interpreted as a sign that this movement is already starting (e.g., Bevan & John, 2016;Jones & Baumgartner, 2004;Fagan et al, 2017).…”

Section: Public Opinion In Theories Of Public Policymentioning

confidence: 99%

Two Sides of the Same Coin? Congruence and Responsiveness as Representative Democracy's Currencies

Beyer¹,

Hänni²

2018

Policy Studies Journal

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The public opinion–policy linkage has received scholarly attention for a long time. After all, this linkage is not only a key characteristic of democracy, but one of the most important aspects and quality criteria of a functioning representative democracy. Despite more than 50 years of political science research, there is still a lot of controversy about how the linkage between public opinion and policy actually works. Two related but distinct strands have formed in the literature—one focusing on responsiveness, the other on congruence. While both schools of thought are ultimately interested in the link between public opinion and representatives’ position or behavior they pursue two different strategies leading to confusion over the concepts and measurement in question. We provide a mutually exclusive conceptualization of congruence and responsiveness and structure the review of the extensive literature accordingly. In addition to providing greater theoretical coherence, our conceptualization fosters further development in the field by deliberately combining the two concepts with the research strands on public policy and representation. We conclude with a call for a more integrated research agenda and introduce a novel concept of “congruent responsiveness.”

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“…Similarly, Fagan et al . (2017) examine if differences in representational systems can affect budget punctuations. They focus on responsivity to public opinion and investigate whether less major punctuation occurs in political systems that are more responsive to public opinion.…”

Section: Theory and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Punctuated equilibrium in democracy and autocracy: an analysis of Hungarian budgeting between 1868 and 2013

Sebők

Berki

2018

Eur. Pol. Sci. Rev.

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The article investigates the dynamics of budgeting and its explanatory factors in Hungary based on a new database. Previous work for the period between 1991 and 2013 demonstrated that year-on-year changes in budgetary allocations by policy topics show a leptokurtic distribution. This distribution of policy changes is generally associated with the notion of punctuated equilibrium. We extend this analysis to cover over 155 years of Hungarian budgetary history. Our investigation of a database of 2580 spending category observations (covering the period between 1868 and 2013) lends support for the theory of punctuated equilibrium. We also analysed the impact of political regimes on budgetary dynamics. Here we provided empirical evidence for the validity of the informational advantage hypothesis which states that democracies will show lower level of kurtosis than other political regimes. This finding is also in line with the results of available comparative studies.

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Representative systems and policy punctuations

Cited by 23 publications

References 38 publications

Talk is not cheap: Policy agendas, information processing, and the unusually proportional nature of European Central Bank communications policy responses

Talk is not cheap: Policy agendas, information processing, and the unusually proportional nature of European Central Bank communications policy responses

Two Sides of the Same Coin? Congruence and Responsiveness as Representative Democracy's Currencies

Punctuated equilibrium in democracy and autocracy: an analysis of Hungarian budgeting between 1868 and 2013

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