2020
DOI: 10.1109/access.2020.3041682
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Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Complex Systems With Multiple Indicators Based on Particle Filter and Parameter Correlation

Abstract: In practical applications, the failure of large-scale complex equipment is often caused by the simultaneous degradation of multiple components. It is necessary to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of the equipment with multiple degradation indicators. This paper proposes a new joint-RUL-prediction method in the presence of multiple degradation indicators based on parameter correlation. The stochastic process model is established for each degradation indicator, and the model parameters are estimated by ke… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(4 citation statements)
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References 28 publications
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“…The deeper the architecture of the predictor, the more effective it is for accurate modelling for posterior estimation; however, this often leads to an increase in the number of parameters required for optimum prognostics results. Consequently, the need for optimal parameter selection arises [10], [13]. Traditionally, such selection depend on the analyst's intuition.…”
Section: Choice Of Prognostics Algorithm and Parameter Optimizationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The deeper the architecture of the predictor, the more effective it is for accurate modelling for posterior estimation; however, this often leads to an increase in the number of parameters required for optimum prognostics results. Consequently, the need for optimal parameter selection arises [10], [13]. Traditionally, such selection depend on the analyst's intuition.…”
Section: Choice Of Prognostics Algorithm and Parameter Optimizationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We use Eq. (15) to construct the SV's whole life cycle degradation data set. In order to obtain the real degradation of the SV, the Gaussian filtering and the Exponential smoothing is adopted.…”
Section: Rul Estimation Of the Sv Based On Apf Techniquementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The RUL estimation based on the physical failure model is ineffective when dealing with large and complex nonlinear multi-operation equipment systems, while the data-driven method is the leading research direction of RUL estimation in recent years [4]. These data-driven methods involve support vector machines [5,6,7], neural networks [8,9,10] and particle filters(PF) [11,12,13,14,15]. When dealing with nonlinear non-Gaussian noise systems, the PF technique has excellent performance [16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The challenge is effectively integrating data from multiple sensors to achieve more accurate degradation modeling and predictive analysis [3]. Chen et al [4] utilized genetic algorithms to fuse multi-source data for RUL prediction. In subsequent research, Chen et al [5] achieved RUL prediction by fusing stochastic process models for each performance indicator.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%