2020
DOI: 10.1007/s42452-020-2122-8
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Reliable energy prediction method for grid connected photovoltaic power plants situated in hot and dry climatic condition

Abstract: This paper presents a mathematical model to predict the energy generation of photovoltaic power plant in hot and humid climatic condition. This model is based on meteorological data and laboratory tested solar module parameters with twenty-four inputs and one output. In addition the twenty-four inputs drive an equation to calculate final energy generation from photovoltaic power plant. Validation of the proposed model was done by comparing the results of predicted energy generation using proposed model and PVW… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(4 citation statements)
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References 29 publications
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“…Table 2 lists the energy production of PVs by several parameters processed by database [35]. The peak value of the average daily sum of global irradiation received by the modules, H(i) d , is H(i) d = 7.28 kWh/m 2 /d, which is consistent with the literature's [4] reference peak. Figure 5 shows the results in terms of the air temperature and PV energy production, E m (Table 2), for each month.…”
Section: Analyses and Resultssupporting
confidence: 69%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Table 2 lists the energy production of PVs by several parameters processed by database [35]. The peak value of the average daily sum of global irradiation received by the modules, H(i) d , is H(i) d = 7.28 kWh/m 2 /d, which is consistent with the literature's [4] reference peak. Figure 5 shows the results in terms of the air temperature and PV energy production, E m (Table 2), for each month.…”
Section: Analyses and Resultssupporting
confidence: 69%
“…PVPs are treated in the literature at the level of forecasting power generations, where several time series prediction statistical methods and algorithms on artificial intelligence are introduced, investigating the effect of prediction time horizon variation [1] and of the design in extreme conditions, where mathematical models to predict the energy generation of PVPs in hot and humid climatic condition are studied [4]. In [1,4], some parameters were studied that impact the electrical power generation, e.g., the type of solar cells and their conditions, electrical circuits of modules, solar incidence angle, and weather conditions.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Cao and Cao [7] use recurrent neural networks integrated with wavelet analysis and they satisfactorily forecast the daily solar irradience using data for Shanhai. Chakraborty [8] suggests a mathematical model for predicting solar energy generated by winter, if a solar power plant has very little power generation whereas the other solar plants in the near locations have considerably higher power generation, this may be an indication of a measurement error. Uncleaned snow above solar panels or break downs may cause such situations.…”
Section: Artificial Neural Network Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The output current of the PV module is a function of the solar irradiance, short-circuit current, temperature coefficient of current, and temperature of PV module, shown by Equation ( 12) [63].…”
Section: Practical Sizing Of Pv Dgmentioning
confidence: 99%