Reliability Analysis of Seismic Slope Incorporating Interactions among Multiple Sliding Blocks Using Imbalance Thrust Force Method in Primary Sliding Direction

Abstract

This paper proposes a methodology for reliability analysis of seismic slope stability that incorporates interactions among multiple sliding blocks. The primary sliding direction is first determined using the vector sum method and then the imbalance thrust force along the primary sliding direction is calculated using the slice-wise strategy and, finally, the double integration strategy is adopted to calculate the accumulated sliding displacement within the earthquake duration. The interactions among multiple sliding blocks are incorporated by checking the potential of occurrence for each of the multiple sliding modes. The proposed method is applied to a soil slope with two sliding surfaces. The comparative studies demonstrate that the mean and standard deviation of the sliding displacement considering the interaction of multiple sliding blocks are approximately three times larger than that of a single sliding mode, and the COV (mean value divided by standard deviation) of the two are slightly different. For the single sliding mode, the mean and standard deviation of the sliding displacement calculated using the proposed method are about 1/2 of the traditional Newmark sliding block model, and the failure probability obtained by the proposed method is lower than that from the traditional Newmark sliding block model owing to the difference in the sliding direction. The Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) exhibits a significant effect on the statistics of 10,000 sliding displacements. The interactions among multiple sliding blocks and the PGA are required to be properly considered in seismic slope reliability analysis.