Abstract:Clasificación JEL: C12, C22, G10, G14, G15Price-volume ratio analysis by causality and day-of-the-week effect for the Latin American stock markets
Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between daily returns and trading volumes using the Granger causality test and, additionally, the day-of-the-week effect in the main Latin American stock markets for the period 1998-2014. It analyzes stock indexes from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru. This study utilizes heteroskedastic variance mode… Show more
“…For the Brazilian market, Santana and Manzoli (2014) identified the weekend effect using the BOVESPA Index, specifically, they found negative returns in Mondays that were accentuated in high volatility as with the sub-prime crisis. Rojas and Kristjanpoller (2015) found a strong weekend effect related to the trading volume in six Latin American markets (Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Mexico, and Peru) because trading volume decreases on Mondays and Fridays and reaches its peak on Wednesdays. Furthermore, it seems that returns cause the trading volume and not the other way around.…”
This study seeks to investigate the presence of the weekend effect in six Latin American markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) and to show the relationship between the weekend effect and investment portfolios sorted by four financial characteristics: stock market liquidity, current liquidity ratio, market capitalization (size) and price-to-book ratio. Using an extension of the French (1980) Model and a portfolio study we identify a significant weekend effect in all countries and found a negative relation between the weekend effect and four financial characteristics: the weekend effect is stronger in portfolios that contain stocks with low market liquidity, securities with low current liquidity ratios, small cap stocks (size) and stocks with low price-to-book ratios. As opposed to previous studies, we suggest that the weekend effect may be influenced by the investment of institutional investors in securitized loans issued by companies with value stocks and tight current liquidity ratios, and by the investment of individual investors in small-cap and illiquid stocks.
“…For the Brazilian market, Santana and Manzoli (2014) identified the weekend effect using the BOVESPA Index, specifically, they found negative returns in Mondays that were accentuated in high volatility as with the sub-prime crisis. Rojas and Kristjanpoller (2015) found a strong weekend effect related to the trading volume in six Latin American markets (Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Mexico, and Peru) because trading volume decreases on Mondays and Fridays and reaches its peak on Wednesdays. Furthermore, it seems that returns cause the trading volume and not the other way around.…”
This study seeks to investigate the presence of the weekend effect in six Latin American markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru) and to show the relationship between the weekend effect and investment portfolios sorted by four financial characteristics: stock market liquidity, current liquidity ratio, market capitalization (size) and price-to-book ratio. Using an extension of the French (1980) Model and a portfolio study we identify a significant weekend effect in all countries and found a negative relation between the weekend effect and four financial characteristics: the weekend effect is stronger in portfolios that contain stocks with low market liquidity, securities with low current liquidity ratios, small cap stocks (size) and stocks with low price-to-book ratios. As opposed to previous studies, we suggest that the weekend effect may be influenced by the investment of institutional investors in securitized loans issued by companies with value stocks and tight current liquidity ratios, and by the investment of individual investors in small-cap and illiquid stocks.
“…En la mayoría de los mercados existe una causalidad de la rentabilidad hacia el volumen, lo cual implica que mayores variaciones de precios trae consigo mayores variaciones de volumen (Rojas y Kristjanpoller, 2015). Pero el volumen no debe ser visto sólo como una medida derivada de las transacciones.…”
Section: Ii2 Volumen Y Precio De Las Acciones Dentro Del Valor De Launclassified
Cotización del petróleo y volumen de acciones de aerolíneas latinoamericanas 2011-2015: análisis de correlación bivariada Resumen: El presente artículo tiene como objetivo analizar la influencia del precio del petróleo en el costo y volumen de las acciones de aerolíneas latinoamericanas en el periodo 2011-2015; para lograr esto, después de realizar una revisión de la literatura más relevante sobre el tema, analizar el comportamiento de las acciones de seis aerolíneas (Volaris, LAN, Gol, Copa, Avianca y Aeroméxico) y el precio del petróleo en las referencias BRENT y WTI, se aplicó un análisis de correlación bivariada. Según los análisis se concluye que la fluctuación del precio del petróleo, una de las principales materias primas en la aviación, afecta de manera negativa el precio y volumen de las acciones y repercute en la economía y finanzas de las aerolíneas y el desempeño del sector. Este estudio tiene implicaciones para las aerolíneas, los analistas y académicos que siguen el comportamiento de estas compañías.
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the adaptive market efficiency in the price–volume (P–V) relationship of the stocks listed in the Mexican Stock Exchange. The period under study goes from 1982 to 2015. In order to detect causality and, thus, determine adaptive efficiency in the market, one linear and two non-linear tests are applied. There are few papers in the literature that study the P–V relationship in Latin American markets; as such, this paper may be of interest and importance to financial academics and practitioners alike.
Design/methodology/approach
The Diks and Panchenko (DP) non-parametric Granger causality and the Brooks and Hinich (BH) cross-bicorrelation tests are applied.
Findings
Derived from the DP test, the findings show that there exists bi-directional non-linear Granger causality in 25.71 per cent of the firms studied, compared to 8 per cent when applying the linear Granger causality test. Therefore, there is evidence of weak-form efficiency in the market. From the BH test, evidence is shown of the adaptive market efficiency, since 71.42 per cent of firms exhibited some form of non-linear dependence in certain periods of time. With these results, the information process should be better studied for a greater comprehension of regulatory policies in the market and better decision-making tools for the investors.
Originality/value
This paper complements studies on the P–V relationship and efficiency in a Latin American market.
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