“…It is well established that climate indices like ENSO in the Pacific and AO/NAO in the Atlantic are leading modes of atmospheric variability and strongly affect winter wave energy (Dodet et al, 2010;Bromirski et al, 2013;Castelle et al, 2017), and recent studies have also shown how extreme phases can lead to large-scale coastal erosion and shoreline change (Masselink et al, 2016;Barnard et al, 2017;Dodet et al, 2018). But, there is now a growing base of evidence highlighting the role leading modes of climate variability also have in controlling wave direction and associated longshore sediment re-distribution and shoreline rotation at the coast (e.g., Silva et al, 2012;Splinter et al, 2014;Goodwin et al, 2016;Wiggins et al, 2019b). In extreme cases, -3 as shown by Wiggins et al (2019a) when studying the impacts of the extreme storm wave events of the 2013/14 winter in Northwest Europe, resultant embayment rotation in semi-sheltered regions can lead to extreme coastal vulnerability and infrastructural failure.…”