Regional and local spatial genetic structure of Siberian primrose populations in Northern Europe

Kreivi, Marjut; Aspi, Jouni; Leskinen, Elina

doi:10.1007/s10592-011-0252-7

Cited by 7 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 57 publications

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“…Additionally, there is probably minimal gene flow among the geographically distinct populations (by the Bothnian Bay, White Sea, and Arctic Sea; Kreivi et al. ). Therefore, we chose not to assign occurrences from the same geographic area to separate populations for the study.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Siberian primrose ( Primula nutans ) is a circumpolar, perennial plant that mainly grows in seashore and riverside meadows (Mäkinen and Mäkinen , Kreivi et al. ). The subspecies P. nutans ssp.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, recent genetic studies have found the three main populations of the Siberian primrose (SP) to be similarly distinct from each other (Kreivi et al. ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…, Kreivi et al. ) to provide distributional data and biological information useful in niche model interpretation. However, we do not know if populations of these species are locally adapted.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…, Kreivi et al. ), to define the populations for this study. KBB occurrence points were divided into western and eastern populations (KBB‐West and KBB‐East; Results ; Fig.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Addressing potential local adaptation in species distribution models: implications for conservation under climate change

Hällfors

Liao

Dzurisin

et al. 2016

Ecological Applications

142

116

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Species distribution models (SDMs) have been criticized for involving assumptions that ignore or categorize many ecologically relevant factors such as dispersal ability and biotic interactions. Another potential source of model error is the assumption that species are ecologically uniform in their climatic tolerances across their range. Typically, SDMs treat a species as a single entity, although populations of many species differ due to local adaptation or other genetic differentiation. Not taking local adaptation into account may lead to incorrect range prediction and therefore misplaced conservation efforts. A constraint is that we often do not know the degree to which populations are locally adapted. Lacking experimental evidence, we still can evaluate niche differentiation within a species' range to promote better conservation decisions. We explore possible conservation implications of making type I or type II errors in this context. For each of two species, we construct three separate Max-Ent models, one considering the species as a single population and two of disjunct populations. Principal component analyses and response curves indicate different climate characteristics in the current environments of the populations. Model projections into future climates indicate minimal overlap between areas predicted to be climatically suitable by the whole species vs. population-based models. We present a workflow for addressing uncertainty surrounding local adaptation in SDM application and illustrate the value of conducting population-based models to compare with whole-species models. These comparisons might result in more cautious management actions when alternative range outcomes are considered.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, recent genetic studies have found the three main populations of the Siberian primrose (SP) to be similarly distinct from each other (Kreivi et al. ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…, Kreivi et al. ), to define the populations for this study. KBB occurrence points were divided into western and eastern populations (KBB‐West and KBB‐East; Results ; Fig.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Addressing potential local adaptation in species distribution models: implications for conservation under climate change

Hällfors

Liao

Dzurisin

et al. 2016

Ecological Applications

142

116

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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RETRACTED ARTICLE: Ecological and Biological Features of the Primrose Distribution in Transbaikalia as the Model Territory of Eastern Siberia

Samburova¹,

Сафонов

Avdushko³

2021

Bot. Rev.

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The potential for evolutionary rescue in an Arctic seashore plant threatened by climate change

Mattila,

Opedal,

Hällfors

et al. 2024

Proc. R. Soc. B.

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The impacts of climate change may be particularly severe for geographically isolated populations, which must adjust through plastic responses or evolve. Here, we study an endangered Arctic plant, Primula nutans ssp. finmarchica , confined to Fennoscandian seashores and showing indications of maladaptation to warming climate. We evaluate the potential of these populations to evolve to facilitate survival in the rapidly warming Arctic (i.e. evolutionary rescue) by utilizing manual crossing experiments in a nested half-sibling breeding design. We estimate G-matrices, evolvability and genetic constraints in traits with potentially conflicting selection pressures. To explicitly evaluate the potential for climate change adaptation, we infer the expected time to evolve from a northern to a southern phenotype under different selection scenarios, using demographic and climatic data to relate expected evolutionary rates to projected rates of climate change. Our results indicate that, given the nearly 10-fold greater evolvability of vegetative than of floral traits, adaptation in these traits may take place nearly in concert with changing climate, given effective climate mitigation. However, the comparatively slow expected evolutionary modification of floral traits may hamper the evolution of floral traits to track climate-induced changes in pollination environment, compromising sexual reproduction and thus reducing the likelihood of evolutionary rescue.

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Regional and local spatial genetic structure of Siberian primrose populations in Northern Europe

Cited by 7 publications

References 57 publications

Addressing potential local adaptation in species distribution models: implications for conservation under climate change

Addressing potential local adaptation in species distribution models: implications for conservation under climate change

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Ecological and Biological Features of the Primrose Distribution in Transbaikalia as the Model Territory of Eastern Siberia

The potential for evolutionary rescue in an Arctic seashore plant threatened by climate change

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