2020
DOI: 10.29015/cerem.876
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Reflecting on Reflections on COVID-19

Abstract: Aim: This paper is an invited reaction to Platje, Harvey & Rayman-Bacchus, March 2020, ‘COVID-19 – reflections on the surprise of both an expected and an unexpected event’ in CEREM 4(1). In the tradition of critical science this paper starts from a discussion of the assumptions underlying the paper it reacts upon.   Findings: The original text is a laudable attempt to initiate a discussion on unpredictable future threats that remains constricted in semantic confusions, misperceptions, misinterp… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(3 citation statements)
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References 19 publications
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“…We term this unpredictable certainty a LEM probability, as the concept has been inspired by Stanisław Lem's "philosophy of chance" and "chain of chances" [62,70]. The dominant social paradigm can result in consciously ignoring smallprobability and nonlinear threats, exclusion of vulnerabilities from cost-benefit analyses and the neglect of "LEM probabilities" [64,[71][72][73][74]. The study presented shows how the dominant social paradigm is behind a persistent denial of LEM probabilities.…”
Section: Hypothesis 2amentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We term this unpredictable certainty a LEM probability, as the concept has been inspired by Stanisław Lem's "philosophy of chance" and "chain of chances" [62,70]. The dominant social paradigm can result in consciously ignoring smallprobability and nonlinear threats, exclusion of vulnerabilities from cost-benefit analyses and the neglect of "LEM probabilities" [64,[71][72][73][74]. The study presented shows how the dominant social paradigm is behind a persistent denial of LEM probabilities.…”
Section: Hypothesis 2amentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A pandemic causes huge uncertainty, and makes the vulnerabilities and fragilities of the current economic system visible. The high uncertainty makes it difficult to predict what the long-term effects of the pandemic will be [27,28]. Since the emergence of the virus approximately six months ago, the economic impacts of COVID-19 have received by far the greatest concentration of attention to date (to June 2020).…”
Section: General Economic Impacts Of Covid-19mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this context, an assessment of the economic dimension aims to reduce the negative externalities of production, seeking an economy concerned with generating a better quality of life for people. Many of these economic sustainability problems are increased by situations of uncertainty (Platje, Harvey, & Rayman-Bacchus, 2020;Van Dam & Webbink, 2020), as well as issues related to ensuring public revenue and promoting economic development sustainability.…”
Section: Economic Sustainability and Covid-19mentioning
confidence: 99%