Reducing uncertainties of climate projections on solar energy resources in Brazil
Francisco José Lopes Lima,
Andre Gonçalves,
Rodrigo Santos Costa
et al.
Abstract:The share of solar energy in Brazil's electrical grid has rapidly increased, reducing GHG emissions and diversifying energy sources for greater energy security. This study is the first to combine satellite and reanalysis data to evaluate Taylor's skill of CMIP6 models in replicating spatial and seasonal patterns of surface solar irradiance (SSR) in Brazil. We used an ensemble with the highest-skill CMIP6 models to assess the climate change factor (CCF) on solar energy up to 2100 under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 sce… Show more
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