Summary The role of human papillomavirus (HPV) detection in the management of patients with persistent low-grade (mild dyskaryosis or less) cervical cytological abnormalities is unclear. We have analysed cytological matenal from 167 such patients both cytologically and by non-isotopic in situ hybridisation (NISH) for HPV 16. 18. 31 and 33 and consensus primer polymerase chain reaction (PCR) amplification followed by both generic and specific typing for these HPV types. Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2 or 3 was present in 40 of 167 patients (23.9%), and the positive predictive values (PPVs) for the presence of CIN 2 or 3, of moderate or severe dyskaryosis at repeat cytology and an HPV-positive NISH and genenrc PCR signal were 100%, 66% and 42% respectively. The corresponding sensitivities were 48%, 68% and 87%. Addition of cytology to molecular analysis improved both PPV and sensitivity, the best combination being NISH and cytopathology (PPV 71%, sensitivity 87%). These data demonstrate that the presence of CIN 2 or 3 in patients with mild cytological abnormalities can be predicted by molecular detection of HPV in some cases, particularly when combined with cytological analysis. However, the magnitude of this prediction is dependent on the population of patients studied, and the clinical role of this approach therefore remains to be defined.Keywords: human papillomavirus; cervix, neoplasia; cytology Human papillomaviruses are present in a wide variety of intraepithelial lesions of squamous epithelium (de Villiers, 1989;Chang, 1990;Munoz et al., 1992;Schiffman. 1992), including those of the cervix uteri. The presence of certain HPV types (16, 18, 31, 33, 35 and others) is associated with high-grade lesions namely CIN 2 and 3 and invasive cervical carcinoma but these types are found less frequently in lowgrade lesions (CIN 1 and wart virus change only) and in patients with negative cervical biopsies (Munoz et al., 1992;Schiffman, 1992;Lorincz et al., 1993;Schiffman et al., 1993).This association suggests that the detection of these viral types in an individual patient might be predictive of the presence of a high-grade lesion or a high-risk of progression of a low-grade lesion. The morphology of signal produced by in situ hybridisation correlates with the presence of viral integration (Cooper et al., 1991a;Kristiansen et al., 1994), and in studies of CIN and invasive carcinoma this punctate pattern was found in all HPV-positive cervical carcinomas and 69% of HPV-positive CIN 3 lesions (Cooper et al., 1991 b,c). Moreover, it has been suggested that it is not merely the presence of high-risk HPV types but the amount of viral DNA which is predictive of a high-grade lesion (Cuzick et al., 1992), although the strength of this prediction varies between studies (Cuzick et al., 1992Herrington et al., 1992a;Bavin et al., 1993).The recommended management of patients with moderately and severely dyskaryotic cells present in a cervical smear is immediate referral for colposcopy and possible treatment (National Co...