Recent increase in the surface mass balance in central East Antarctica is unprecedented for the last 2000 years

Abstract

The Antarctic Ice Sheet’s reaction on the continuing global warming is crucial to project the future sea level rise. The increasing air temperature causes both accelerating mass loss on the Antarctica’s margins and increased surface mass balance in its interior. Here, we use data from firn cores drilled near Vostok station (central East Antarctica) to analyze the surface mass balance variability over the past 2200 years. We show a 24% increase of snow accumulation rate since early 19 century confirmed by the instrumental data for the last 52 years. The mean surface mass balance value in 1970–2021 (2.25 ± 0.064 g cm−2 yr−1) is very likely unprecedented in the pre-industrial era. The surface mass balance growth is accompanied by the air temperature increase with the sensitivity of 11 ± 2% per 1 °C. These results will help to constrain the potential magnitude of Antarctic snowfall mitigation of future sea level rise.