“…By using empirical data, for instance, as a form of "baseline thinking" that recalibrates our perception of what is novel or unexpected, and which becomes more relevant as expanding digital archives allow for the construction of baselines at new scales. 108 By recognizing, moreover, that such thinking is not a means to override indeterminacy, but to explicate it in a more granular way, whether across different scales of evidence, different bodies of evidence, or in negotiation with the beliefs and heuristics we bring to our judgments under uncertainty. The point of this negotiation is not so that we can all arrive at the same place; there will always be disagreement over the suitability of certain base rates for certain scenarios and, at a more fundamental level, everyone arrives at a problem along different paths of prior belief and knowledge.…”