2019
DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.122.074502
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Rare Event Algorithm Links Transitions in Turbulent Flows with Activated Nucleations

Abstract: Many turbulent flows undergo drastic and abrupt configuration changes with huge impacts. As a paradigmatic example we study the multistability of jet dynamics in a barotropic beta plane model of atmosphere dynamics. It is considered as the Ising model for Jupiter troposphere dynamics. Using the adaptive multilevel splitting, a rare event algorithm, we are able to get a very large statistics of transition paths, the extremely rare transitions from one state of the system to another. This new approach opens the … Show more

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Cited by 68 publications
(109 citation statements)
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“…This common transition path can be seen as a low-dimensional projection of the dynamics of band splitting. Such a statistical pathway for configuration changes in a turbulent fluid system was observed in the case of barotropic jet nucleation [54].…”
Section: B Splittingmentioning
confidence: 66%
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“…This common transition path can be seen as a low-dimensional projection of the dynamics of band splitting. Such a statistical pathway for configuration changes in a turbulent fluid system was observed in the case of barotropic jet nucleation [54].…”
Section: B Splittingmentioning
confidence: 66%
“…This characterization of the splitting pathway resembles transitions in other turbulent fluid systems for which rare-event algorithms have been applied to assess long time scales associated with infrequent events. This has been carried out in [54] for barotropic jet dynamics in the atmosphere and in [70] for a stochastic two-variable model that reproduces transitional turbulence [13]. We are currently working on applying this strategy to the study of turbulent band splitting.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The atmosphere itself may admit multiple equilibria. As a matter of fact, turbulent flows often exhibit coexisting steady-states for given external parameters, as well as spontaneous transitions between the two stable states, as has been reported in both numerical studies (Bouchet and Simonnet, 2009;Cortet et al, 2010;Bouchet et al, 2019) and laboratory experiments (Berhanu et al, 2007;Cortet et al, 2010;Saint-Michel et al, 2013;Michel et al, 2016). Some of these experiments (Weeks et al, 1997;Tian et al, 2001) are actually inspired by geophysical flows (Charney and DeVore, 1979).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 78%
“…While the processes by which the flow-forming instability manifests are well understood, we lack comprehensive understanding of how this instability is equilibrated. For example, as the zonal jets grow they often merge or branch to larger or smaller scales (Danilov and Gurarie 2004;Manfroi and Young 1999), multiple turbulence-jet equilibria exist (Farrell and Ioannou 2007;Parker and Krommes 2013;Constantinou et al 2014a), and, also, transitions from various turbulent jet attractors may occur (Bouchet et al 2018). Some outstanding questions include:…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%