Summary. In a prospective study the statistical characteristics of digital rectal examination (DRE), transrectal ultrasound (TRUS), and serologic determination of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) were assessed in 1230 patients aged over 40 years. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were determined to be 80. 3%, 69.7o70, 58.9o70, and 86.7o70, respectively, for DRE; 76.5o7o, 62.3o70, 52.3°7o, and 83.1%, respectively, for TRUS; and 87.9%, 49.6%, 48.5O7o, and 88.3%, respectively, for PSA (normal level, 4 ng/ml). The data clearly demonstrate the nonsuitability of each single measure for reliable early detection of prostatic carcinoma. Connection of the parameters in all possible combinations under various conditions demonstrated the superiority of the test "DRE and PSA > 4 ng/ml" over DRE as the "gold standard" and all other options. The use of this approach as the first-line raster of an algorithm (outlined herein) would allow the detection of prostatic malignancy with a specificity of 86.5% and a positive predictive value of 74.0°7o. Supplementing this screen with short-term controls in cases in which only one parameter is positive ("DRE or PSA > 4 ng/ml") might enable the detection of almost all patients with prostate cancer. TRUS did not provide any additional information.The principle that early diagnosis of most human malignancies enables detection of cancer at a lower and, by definition, more curable stage applies as well for prostate cancer [7]. According to a survey of the American College of Surgeons in 1986 [14], transurethral resection has been the most common means to establish the diagnosis of prostatic neoplasms. Over the last decade, how-*Acknowledged with the Cancer Award of the State of Lower Saxony, Germany, I992.Correspondence to: Prof. Dr. E.P. Allhoff, Department of Urology, Hannover Medical School, Konstanty-Gutschow-Strasse 8, D-30625 Hannover, Germany ever, the diagnostic approach to prostate cancer has been enriched by the availability of new immunoserologic as well as imaging modalities for routine clinical use. The advances achieved in these fields prompted us in 1987 to evaluate these modalities with respect to their capacity for detecting prostate cancer either alone or in combination and to compare the results with the findings obtained by digital rectal examination (DRE), which at that time was considered the "gold standard".
Patients and methodsIn an ongoing prospective study, 1230 men over 40 years of age recruited from the total-patients cohort at our institution were investigated for the potential presence of a prostatic malignancy by clinical, immunochemical, and sonographic means.Prior to digital rectal examination (DRE), determination of the serum level of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) was performed using initially an immunoradiometric assay and later an immunoenzymatic assay employing monoclonal antibodies (Hybritech, Inc.). According to the recommendation by the manufacturer, the normal reference interval was defined as 0 -3.9 ng/ml. D...