2019
DOI: 10.1016/j.lpm.2019.10.012
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Quels éléments président à l’émergence d’une épidémie virale ? Peut-on la prévoir ?

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Cited by 2 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“… In every case the first assumption is that the pandemic spatial diffusion is not randomly determined. The basic principles of epidemiology are that three global Determinants are required for an epidemic (or pandemic) to occur (Desenclos and de Valk, 2005 ; Che, 2019 ): the new or existing Pathogen attain characteristics able to trigger its exponential replication; the Host presents suitable characteristics and favorable behaviors apt to sustain the replication of the pathogen; the Environment (sensu Eisenberg et al, 2007 ) guarantees prolonged idoneous conditions for the spreading of the pathogen. Secondarily, in most cases a geography-based method is applied with the general purpose to produce a map or a spatially-based statistic output and the specific purpose to generate new information.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“… In every case the first assumption is that the pandemic spatial diffusion is not randomly determined. The basic principles of epidemiology are that three global Determinants are required for an epidemic (or pandemic) to occur (Desenclos and de Valk, 2005 ; Che, 2019 ): the new or existing Pathogen attain characteristics able to trigger its exponential replication; the Host presents suitable characteristics and favorable behaviors apt to sustain the replication of the pathogen; the Environment (sensu Eisenberg et al, 2007 ) guarantees prolonged idoneous conditions for the spreading of the pathogen. Secondarily, in most cases a geography-based method is applied with the general purpose to produce a map or a spatially-based statistic output and the specific purpose to generate new information.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Pandemics are multifactorial events with complex origin (Che, 2019 ), and many of their contributing determinants, both fostering or hampering the infection, are not well-known, or even unknown (Tscherne and García-sastre, 2011 ). Territory represents the logical framework where epidemiological determinants’ influence can be traced (Eisenberg et al, 2007 ), but also, pragmatically, the field where their assessment becomes partially possible (Kundi, 2006 ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Ce qui fait la spécificité des virus, c'est leur fonctionnement de parasite génétique qui implique à la fois la nécessité de survivre assez longtemps dans les cellules de l'hôte pour s'y répliquer et donc se transmettre et une capacité de mutation pour se protéger des phénomènes de mémoire immunologique. Cela conduit à une sélection naturelle des formes les plus contagieuses et suffisamment virulentes pour que l'épidémie se propage [4,5].…”
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